CHARTROOM LINK
(pre-open Market Tour begins at 8:55 ET) Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.Trade Signals - Pre Open - 7:06 AM
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Day Trading Opening Predictions - 10:20 AM
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Tonight's Market Predictions - 12:02 PM
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Market Summary - 4:21 PM
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Tomorrow's Market Predictions - 4:29 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Post-open rally attacking overnight highs.
Not just last night's 2091.25 high was attacked. So was Sunday night's 2091.50 gap up. All within 3 ticks of this morning's 2091.75 bias-up target, which is a lot of resistance.
Even if we knew with 100{faed0d6dca04cec8b6b7985efddb9b0651107a3aebb05f69f0166038b8c951f6} degree of certainty it would be exceeded, nothing prohibits an obligatory reaction down. In fact, a 4-1/2 point dip is attacking the 2086.00 bias-up signal to within 3 ticks.
Regardless, the burden of proof will be on sellers to retake control. Exiting the bias environment back under its 2086.00 bias-up signal would be a start. Actually, back under 2086.00 through 10:30 would invalidate 10:15's signal already.
Otherwise, absorbing this reaction down would be likely to extend higher today, next targeting 2110.00.
TUE afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2093.50
2087.50
...would target
2099.50
2093.75
Bias-down: under
2085.50
2079.75
...would target
2080.00
2074.00
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-UP SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
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Tuesday afternoon's narrow ranging unfortunately fulfilled expectations that volatility would become inhibited ahead of AAPL's post-close earnings. Fortunately, that range included session lows, which were retested by a blip-down. Its recovery back into the range nearly flat-lined around 2084.50 until a last-minute spike up at the close to 2089.00.
The spike up was literally last-minute, certainly too late to be predictive. Too late to trigger a signal like Monday afternoon's rally had tried to announce, for extending higher overnight and through Tuesday's open.
No traction was gained again Tuesday, once again requiring Wednesday's open to gap if it intends to trend intraday. Even then, there is no trending to resume, so gapping must extend quickly to avoid reversing back into the range. Already having chipped away at resistance, gapping up to retest 2091.00 would be more reliable for extending higher. Otherwise, fresh lows would target 2067.00-2069.00.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
WED morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2094.00
2088.00
...would target
2099.50
2093.75
Bias-down: under
2086.75
2081.00
...would target
2081.50
2075.50
Signal status: LATE BIAS-DOWN
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.