NEW DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.Market Pre-Open Strategy - 7:47 AM
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Stock Market Morning Strategy - 10:44 AM
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Its brief consolidation resolved up sharply as the embargo was lifted on Yellen's opening remarks for her House Congressional testimony. The open was greeted by a consolidation around 2435.50. Another surge extended the rally to attack 2443.00.
The highest candidate for containing the post-open surge is 2441.75. While testing it for more than a half-hour, it has been exceeded by 1 point, but only overlapped, while RSIs eventually diverged negatively. And now its pullback limit is being violated.
Back under 2439.50 would signal momentum reversing down (now being tested). Objectives include this morning's 2433.00 bias-up target and 2430.50. Even the 2428.00 bias-up signal can be tested while remaining within the bias-up environment.
Gapping up this morning doesn't prevent attempts to reverse the trend down, but helps to ensure that attempts will fail. Regardless of the substantial rally from yesterday's close, avoiding any pullback would next target new highs above 2454.00.
Tonight's Day Trading Bias Levels - 11:59 AM
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Day Trading Mid-Day Thoughts - 1:34 PM
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Day Trading Summary - 4:32 PM
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Tomorrow's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Yellen's remarks fuel pre-open / post-open surge.
This morning's 2428.00 bias-up signal was already tested overnight after Europe's opens helped to end a narrow range.
WED afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2443.00
2441.00
...would target
2449.25
2447.25
Bias-down: under
2436.50
2434.50
...would target
2430.00
2428.00
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-UP SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Still hovering off the morning high.
This morning's 5-point reaction down from attacking 2443.00 has persisted through much of the morning's bias environment and noon hour. Now the afternoon bias environment seems stuck.
The 2441.00 bias-up signal was tested -- barely, but it has held. Back under 2437.50 would still credible for a deeper dip, to 2433.00 or 2430.50. Extending higher anyway would be no-bias trending and doomed to failure.
Potential for extending the current bounce up to 2433.00 is moot, now that Wednesday has closed above it. The low was essentially the open's test of 2435.50, or 3 ticks lower. Intraday extended to attack 2444.00 and reacted down only 4 points into the close.
A second consecutive higher close isn't required in order to extend higher eventually. But it would provide helpful confirmation that a subsequent pullback was only temporary. Already pulling back Thursday morning has considerable room before reversing momentum down.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
THU morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2444.00
2442.00
...would target
2449.25
2447.25
Bias-down: under
2436.00
2434.00
...would target
2430.75
2428.75
Signal status: INVALIDATED BIAS-UP
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.