NEW DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.Pre-Open Market Signals - 8:03 AM
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Market is Open, Here's What to Expect - 10:18 AM
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Tonight's Day Trading Bias Levels - 12:03 PM
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Stock Market Mid-Day Trends - 1:53 PM
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Double-topping this morning at 2391.75 didn't prevent triggering the 2386.50 bias-up signal, or putting into play its 2392.00 bias-up target. But it did allow a pullback to test the overnight range down to 2385.00.
Firming into the bias environment exit extended into the noon hour, probing 2392.00 by 5 ticks. The balance of the noon hour ranged narrowly back down to this afternoon's 2391.50 bias-up signal.
Bias-up didn't trigger, nor was it rejected. This is a noN-bias environment. Trending either way is possible, but not common. Regardless, trending isn't signaled.
This is an uncomfortable window not to have an objective in-play. Somewhat like Bugs Bunny's nemesis Wile E. Coyote being led speedily off the edge of a cliff.
His lateral momentum briefly suspends him in mid-air, before gravity takes over. The moment in between resembles this afternoon's bias environment.
Back under 2389.50 would start to signal momentum reversing down. If confirmed and extended, 2381.00 and 2375.00 could be tested. Meanwhile, any bullish resolution won't be signaled from under the 2393.25 high.
Day Trading Summary - 4:32 PM
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Tomorrow's Day Trading Predictions - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
WedEX missing from open's surge.
Pre-open firming greeted the open at the 2385.25 overnight high. The open then surged, quickly retracing back up to Friday's 2388.00 high. Its retest was likely at some point, and this was early enough for the bearish WedEX influence to re-emerge during the opening 15 minutes.
It didn't.
Extending higher soon fulfilled Friday afternoon's 2389.50 bias-up target that had become unfinished business. And it was probed by 5 ticks. This morning's 2392.00 bias-up target is another 5 ticks higher.
1-minute RSI diverged negatively at the high's retest. Persistently overbought 3-minute RSI had left overbought territory. But exploiting any bearish potential all but requires breaking back under the 2386.50 bias-up signal by 10:30, reacting down suddenly like Friday afternoon.
That would be late, but it would be vulnerable to the bearish WedEX influence into the noon hour. Otherwise, the rally's next higher objective would be 2397.00.
MON afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2393.00
2391.50
...would target
2397.75
2396.50
Bias-down: under
2386.75
2385.50
...would target
2381.50
2380.00
Signal status: noN-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-UP SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Don't. Look. Down.
Gapping up Monday to 2385.00 didn't delay extending through Friday's 2388.00 high. That was before the morning bias environment began. Extending much higher was delayed until the bias environment began lapsing. But it was worth the wait for a relatively quick move to 2393.25.
Then, another delay. But also worth the wait? Much of the noon hour, the entire afternoon bias environment, and also the proxy window, all ranged narrowly. The position-squaring window finally launched a break higher.
But that break was less than 2 points up to 2394.25. And it spent the proxy window only fluctuating around the noon hour's high. Reacting back down to 2391.00 began too late to be serious, and was retraced back up to 2393.00.
Probing higher overnight has room up to the 2397.00 area before suggesting the rally will resume Tuesday. Otherwise, that Wile E. Coyote moment keeps the door open to greeting the open with a collapse.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
TUE morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2396.50
2395.25
...would target
2402.25
2401.00
Bias-down: under
2390.00
2388.75
...would target
2384.75
2383.50
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-UP SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.