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(pre-open Market Tour begins at 8:55 ET) Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.Professional Pre-Open Trading Strategy - 7:57 AM
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Market Opening Thoughts - 10:40 AM
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Dipping into the open probed only momentarily under the 1933.00 area. It was just long enough to introduce a preliminary buy signal above 1934.25. And that was just in time to capture a surge from 1932.00.
The surge also triggered the more reliable buy signal above 1936.75. That was on the way to 1940.50, which pierced January's high.
An obligatory dip recovered to fresh highs at 1943.00. Room for a temporary pullback down to 1936.75-1938.25 has been touched, barely.
The bullish WedEX's influence remains intact. The degree to which price has extended already, and its steep slope, only reinforces that continued influence -- despite the inclination being to suspect that it is tiring.
Meanwhile, probing a fresh high is entirely consistent with the scenario described during this weekend's Saturday Review. Although the shallowest of probes was enough to fulfill its retest, there is potential to 1952.00-1953.00 The bullish WedEX suggests at least a probe above 1943.00.
Tonight's Market Predictions - 11:57 AM
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Day Trading Market Wrap - 4:41 PM
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Tomorrow's Day Trading Predictions - 4:57 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Actively bullish WedEX remains influential.
MON afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
1944.25
1941.00
...would target
1949.00
1946.00
Bias-down: under
1937.50
1934.50
...would target
1931.25
1928.00
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-UP SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Monday's open gapped up considerably to 1932.00 and soon trended sharply higher to 1943.00. Still being governed by the bullish WedEX signal, a reaction down could not gain traction. And the reaction down to 1936.00 did not gain traction, instead recovering to a fresh session high at 1943.75.
Now a reaction down can gain traction. Not just trending down, but gapping back down under lower prior highs like 1923.00-1927.00 to form an Island. Otherwise, just dipping into their test would be attracted back up to Monday's 1932.00 opening gap.
Overbought RSIs at Monday's 1943.75 high require a retest, too. That can be neutralized overnight, although any complexity would require probing fresh highs intraday, whether only to 1946.00 or to 1952.00-1953.00.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
TUE morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
1949.00
1946.00
...would target
1953.00
1952.00
Bias-down: under
1936.00
1933.00
...would target
1930.25
1927.25
Signal status: BIAS-DOWN, BIAS-DOWN TARGET MET
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.