CHARTROOM LINK
(pre-open Market Tour begins at 8:55 ET)Pre-Open Market Bias - 7:27 AM
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Market is Open, Here's What to Expect - 10:44 AM
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Tonight's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 11:59 AM
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Day Trading Summary - 4:25 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Even sluggish follow-through isn't preventing higher highs.
Gapping up to and/or through yesterday's 2036.75 high was the only way to resume the rally this morning, since yesterday afternoon's buyers gained no traction for their efforts. A pre-open pullback to 2033.00 had recovered to open at 2036.75.
The opening 15 minutes didn't extend higher but only ranged widely around the 2036.75 prior high. Nevertheless, a pullback to the 2034.50 bias-up signal was recovered to fresh highs at 2040.75. That satisfied the 2039.75 bias-up signal, without exceeding it through 10:15 to renew the bias-up signal.
Back under 2037.25 (being tested now) would be likely to retest the 2034.50 bias-up signal as support. The reaction down could extend into the noon hour. The pullback could test 2031.00 or the 2027.00 overnight low.
A pullback is easier said than done. This is still a bias-up environment. Expiration's upside bias remains very much intact. And any downdraft's recovery remains likely by the afternoon's bullish WedEX.
FRI afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2050.75
2041.00
...would target
2057.00
2047.25
Bias-down: under
2043.25
2033.50
...would target
2037.00
2027.25
Signal status: NO-BIASr
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Friday afternoon's drop was recovered entirely, and literally -- from the noon hour's 2040.00 exit down to a test of the afternoon's 2033.50 bias-down signal, and back up again. even the noon hour's 2041.75 high was touched.
No higher highs were required since the bias environment wasn't exited above all prior timing windows. Even considering the bullish WedEX, and even considering that the bullish WedEX had been productive. So the balance of the session ranged narrowly around 2040.00 -- expiration dipping to 2036.50 is irrelevant for our purpsoses.
The new trend high close fulfills the third higher close that was by confirming Wednesday's breakout. The new trend high close on a Friday now deserves a similar reward, that at least one more higher close develop before a durable decline could begin. An immediate pullback, possibly, but not a durable reversal down.
Meanwhile, the bullish WedEX's influence on Monday should be aggressive. Its influence proved out Friday afternoon, so even if Monday's open were to gap down considerably, the morning should rally. Rallying to fresh highs without gapping up would be vulnerable to reversing down, since buyers didn't gain traction for their efforts -- and since some older "higher prior lows" are being probed that should get to slow the advance.
REMINDER: THERE IS NO SATURDAY REVIEW THIS WEEKEND.
Also, chaRTroom will be available after Sunday night's Globex open. Not very long after, and you'll receive the usual Email Alert with its URL.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.