NEW DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A Saturday Review at 9:30 ET -- its link will be emailed overnight.
Professional Pre-Open Trading Plan - 8:07 AM
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Day Trading Post Open Bias Levels - 10:42 AM
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Tonight's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 12:05 PM
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Market Mid-Day Predictions - 1:39 PM
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Day Trading Summary - 4:32 PM
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Tomorrow's Day Trading Bias Levels - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Post-open surge threatens new high.
The overnight rally up to 2268.00 greeted the open at 2264.00. Essentially. A last-minute blip-down to 2263.00 spiked back up to attack 2268.00. Anyway, the spike didn't slow post-open, and extended to probe the 2272.00 bias-up target by 3 ticks.
2272.00 held through 10:15 to avoid renewing the bias-up signal. This is still a bias-up environment, so a pullback has room down to its 2265.00 bias-up signal. In fact, a probe under 2268.50-2269.50 is threatening as much.
Regardless of a deeper pullback this morning, new highs are threatened, too. Just maintaining the open's surge through 10:15 suggests any dip will recover. Back above 2270.25 would signal the rally is resuming, next targeting 2278.25.
FRI afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2277.75
2272.75
...would target
2283.25
2278.25
Bias-down: under
2271.00
2266.00
...would target
2265.75
2260.75
Signal status: NOn-BIAS, BIAS-DOWN TARGET MET
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Morning's dip recovers only positive territory.
Narrow sideways ranging between 2267.50-2270.50 persisted into the noon hour. The bottom suddenly dropped out several minutes later. Two downlegs tested 2263.00 and 2260.00. Which held coming out of the noon hour.
The 2266.00 bias-down signal was being tested at both 1:20 and 1:30 to invoke the grace period. The 2260.75 bias-down target had been tested, before bouncing back up to 2266.00 -- which was still being tested at both 1:20 and 1:30.
This is a noN-bias environment. Extending above 2268.00 would signal the rally was resuming, targeting fresh highs. Under 2263.25 would start to suggest drifting down into the weekend, targeting yesterday's lows and then lower.
Trending up through expiration's open did not define the balance of the session. Already meeting and holding the 2272.00 bias-up target was inhibiting to some degree. But that's not what triggered dropping back down to 2260.00, essentially filling the gap back to Thursday's close.
Ultimately, positive territory was maintained throughout. The open's anchor is still an attraction above, as is the requirement for a new trend high close, and likely test of 2278.25. It's interesting that the rally couldn't exploit the opportunity for another new trend high close on a Friday, which would have further entrenched itself.
Unfinished business below remains outstanding from oversold RSIs at Thursday's 2253.00 low, and at the prior week's 2248.50 actual low. There continues to be no particular timing requirement for either.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
MON morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2276.00
2271.00
...would target
2280.75
2276.00
Bias-down: under
2266.25
2261.50
...would target
2260.50
2255.50
Signal status: LATE BIAS-DOWN
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.