NEW DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A Regardless, it's too late to trigger bias-down. It's too late to invalidate it, and too early -- the latter would be possible by exiting the bias environment under the 2320.50 pre-10:15 low, since there's been no fresh high since 10:15. That was as-of 11:30, when this morning's bias environment started lapsing. Now the afternoon's bias environment is triggering at 1:20, and this morning's 2330.75 objective is already being tested. So is the overbought RSIs from yesterday's 2329.00 high, and its 2331.50 bias-up target left outstanding. Even faster, as this afternoon's 2327.00 bias-up signal is triggering, its 2332.25 bias-up target is already met. Too much, too fast? Well, not exceeding the bias-up target at 1:20 has failed to renew the bias-up signal. Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.Market Performance Predictions - 7:33 AM
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Day Trading Opening Predictions - 10:53 AM
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Tonight's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 11:59 AM
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Stock Market Mid-Day Trends - 1:35 PM
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so an offsetting test of its 2330.75 bias-up signal became "unfinished business above."
Bias Wrap - 4:32 PM
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Tomorrow's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Bias-down signal held its test when it mattered.
Last night's narrow ranging had tried recovering before the open but only touched the much earlier 2327.25 overnight high. Trending down from there into and out of the open probed fresh lows at 2320.50.
Ultimately, the 2321.50 bias-down signal held its test through 10:15, putting into play an offsetting test of the 2330.75 bias-up target. That's somewhat in question amid fresh lows after 10:30 down to 2319.75. Fresh lows that are now reacting back up to 2323.00.
TUE afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2329.75
2327.00
...would target
2334.75
2332.25
Bias-down: under
2322.50
2320.00
...would target
2317.25
2314.50
Signal status: BIAS-UP, BIAS-UP TARGET MET
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Targets being met faster than they're put into play.
Two more probes under the 2321.50 bias-down signal during this morning's no-bias environment both recovered. The bias environment exit was above the pre-10:15 low,
A blow-off is underway. It's not just four consecutive higher closes from the previous range. Or that three of those gapped up and all of them probed higher during the afternoon. Those elements reflect optimism, but not necessarily extended optimism or impatience.
The blog-off indication came after Tuesday's close. It really began at the final hour's entry, when a pullback from 2335.25 had dipped 4 points, but no deeper. Retracing the entire dip into the cash session close then extended post-close to attack 2338.00. We haven't yet seen a post-close short-squeeze, until now.
There's little to no chance that the trend extreme has printed. Or that reversing down into Wednesday's open would not soon recover. But opening under Tuesday afternoon's 2331.00 bias environment low would start to reject the rally above it. That would be especially bearish near-term if only fresh highs are probed overnight.
Regardless, a pullback has room down to 2327.00 and 2324.50 while being only temporary backing-and-filling. Extending higher first would next target 2343.00-2344.00.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
WED morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2339.25
2336.50
...would target
2344.75
2342.25
Bias-down: under
2329.50
2327.00
...would target
2324.00
2321.25
Signal status: NO-BIAS
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.