NEW DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A If tested this morning, 2266.25 was required to define the no-bias environment's upper-end. But it wasn't touched. If tested this afternoon, 2266.25 should define the no-bias environment's upper-end. REPEATING: There is NO Saturday Review this weekend. Overnight Globex trading can be monitored Sunday night in the chaRTroom here.Market Pre-Open Plan - 7:49 AM
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Day Trading Post Open Signals - 10:26 AM
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Tonight's Day Trading Bias Levels - 12:04 PM
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Market Mid-Day Predictions - 1:41 PM
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So, no offsetting test of its 2266.25 bias-up signal was put into play. Not officially. But its test was still likely for other reasons that had marginalized sellers.
Day Trading Market Wrap - 4:32 PM
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Tomorrow's Day Trading Plan - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
NEW! Market Tour transcript included at the end of this post...
Relatively narrow opening range, holding.
Similar to Thursday's open, not trending down through the open has made trending down this morning unlikely. Dipping overnight to 2357.00 had bounced pre-open to 2363.00. Dipping again into the open was very short-lived, and it only attacked the 2358.25 bias-down signal to within 1 tick.
Reversing back up has attacked 2365.00. Its still negative territory, but it's not arbitrary. There was an effort to break lower, and the effort failed through relevant timing windows. Sellers are likely marginalized for the morning... or later.
Meanwhile, only attacking the bias-down signal -- even all the way to within 1 tick -- doesn't equate to actually touching it. So, an offsetting test of its 2366.25 bias-up signal isn't required. Not officially, but it's still likely. And at least an obligatory probe above yesterday's 2367.00 highs is likely, too.
FRI afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2370.00
2366.25
...would target
2375.50
2372.00
Bias-down: under
2361.25
2357.75
...would target
2355.25
2351.50
Signal status: NO-BIAS
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Upside momentum persisting through the noon hour.
This morning's 2258.25 bias-down signal was attacked to within 1 tick. Not touched.
PROGRAMMING NOTE: There is NO Saturday Review this weekend.
The week began with a bang, and ended with a whimper. Gapping down to fresh pullback lows Monday, and probing lower intraday, had tested two critical levels. Both 2327.00 and 2317.00 held their test (the latter to within 3 ticks) before reversing to close back above 2331.00. The pullback had ended. That much we knew instantly.
Instantly extending Monday's intraday recovery into a multi-session rally was not assured. And it developed despite bearish influences and attractions left outstanding below. Monday's 2321.00 gap down will want to be filled eventually. Tuesday morning's 2342.25 bias-up signal requires an eventual retest.
But Friday's session hardly suggested an association with such volatility that recently preceded it. Thursday night's slide was being reversed before the open, and then more so into the afternoon. All action developed at or between its bias signals. The afternoon bias environment's drop was not credible for extending down for its no-bias timing, so it recovered. Temporarily, as a deeper drop into the close retested the open's low, but held the range.
That was the week. Friday's session may have been the week's hallowest, if not also for the month. Now we have one week before end-o'quarter earnings start buffeting the opens, and inhibiting the closes. Price action during its last month struggled, suggesting that analysts weren't awed upon checking in with their coverage. In fact, this past couple of week's has already seen misses appearing. Example, Lululemon Athletica (LULU) plunging Thursday as its stores apparently have seen too few misses arriving. A week of similar higher-profile earnings news probably won't attract stock buyers. Anticipation for that week can't be very attractive, either.
But Friday's whimper is obvious even without being juxtaposed against Monday's bang. It was essentially an "inside day" and it is positioned at a multi-session recovery's extreme. Presumably, there is still an objective or two outstanding above, else the conditions and attractions below would have produced a downside bang into the weekend. The question is in what order we're about to see one more weak-handed optimistic surge ahead of earnings, and another defensive reaction down/
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
MON morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2367.50
2364.00
...would target
2372.50
2369.00
Bias-down: under
2361.25
2357.75
...would target
2354.00
2350.50
Signal status: BIAS-DOWN
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.