NEW DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A Now the Running Correction's retest has two likely resolutions. Either extend down to its origin in Friday's range below, or else resume the rally to new highs. The 2442.75 bias-down signal's test isn't offering clarity -- it was being tested at both 10:15 AND 10:30 to trigger noN-bias. The speech's timing helped to isolate the probe under this morning's low to the noon hour -- the noon hour was entered above the morning's low, and exited back above it. This setup can be a very powerful reversal. Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.Professional Pre-Open Trading Plan - 7:34 AM
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Day Trading Post Open Bias Levels - 10:38 AM
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quadrant was the likely pullback objective for any downleg that might have developed yesterday. None did.
Tonight's Day Trading Strategy - 11:55 AM
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Mid-Day Market Thoughts - 1:38 PM
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But the open wasn't recovered, let alone positive territory.
Exiting the morning's bias environment back at the open's low created a new objective down to 2437.75. Its test has reacted up sharply to test the morning's "higher prior lows" up to 2442.50. Its catalyst was the start of a tax reform speech by House Speaker Ryan.
Day Trading Summary - 4:32 PM
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Tomorrow's Day Trading Predictions - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Pre-open dip slides into support.
The 2446.25 open resolved down quickly to resume the pre-open slide. A bounce from 2 points lower was anticipated to resolve down, too. Which it did, testing its 2441.50 objective as the Market Tour recording describes.
Dipping to 2441.50 also satisfied the Running Correction's retest which had developed during yesterday's open. It's lower
TUE afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2450.75
2448.00
...would target
2455.75
2453.25
Bias-down: under
2442.50
2440.00
...would target
2436.75
2434.00
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-DOWN SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Opening slide resumes, extends. And ends?
Extending the pre-open slide down to 2441.50 was likely. In fact, its test defined the open's low. Reacting up 4 points was impressive, and confirmed the level's relevance.
The noon hour had isolated fresh session lows under 2441.00 down to 2437.25. Had that low been a retest of a prior low, or if its recovery extended above a prior high, then the balance of the afternoon could have recovered to Monday's highs and higher.
No prior low was being tested and no prior high was recovered. the recovery could have developed anyway, but didn't. The noon hour's range broke lower down to 2434.00.
But the break lower was delayed until the last half-hour, essentially the position squaring window. And it held a test of last Wednesday's 2435.50 close. Held it, as in still overlapping it at the close, but not necessarily rejecting its test.
Gapping up Wednesday above Tuesday afternoon's 2442.50 high would reject all of the subsequent downtrending action. It would also recover the noon hour's isolated probe under the morning's lows. And it would trigger a short-squeeze targeting new highs. Otherwise, Wednesday's open could be at the 2432.50 area of Friday's "lower prior highs," on the way down to 2425.00.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
WED morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2443.50
2440.75
...would target
2450.00
2447.50
Bias-down: under
2437.00
2434.50
...would target
2431.25
2428.50
Signal status: NO-BIAS, BIAS-DOWN SIGNAL TESTED
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.