DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.Market Pre-Open Plan - 7:19 AM
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Day Trading Opening Predictions - 10:26 AM
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Tonight's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 11:59 AM
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Session Wrap - 4:32 PM
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Tomorrow's Day Trading Predictions - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Gap up not exploited, or reversed.
Pre-open action had probed yesterday's 2478.75 high by a full point. Yesterday's high is also this morning's bias-up signal. It was last touched 2 minutes before the open, which was only 1 tick lower. An offsetting test of the 2469.00 bias-down signal won't be required for not triggering bias-up, but it would be an attraction.
Gapping up above yesterday's highs could have formed a "session-long rally" setup. Had triggering it rejected an effort more substantial than 1 point, then the setup's opposite resolution would be likely. We can give a fresh session low that benefit of the doubt, but not otherwise.
Probing higher anyway this morning would be doomed to failure, if not this afternoon during the FOMC reaction, then tomorrow. Probing above the bias-up signal through 10:30 would invalidate the 10:15 no-bias signal. Fresh highs would be likely, but still doomed to failure.
WED afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2481.00
2478.75
...would target
2486.25
2484.25
Bias-down: under
2473.00
2471.00
...would target
2467.75
2465.50
Signal status: NO-BIAS
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Even Wednesday's FOMC policy statement couldn't shake what is now a four-day streak of narrowly ranging sessions. There's no actual trending, and it IS for lack of trying:
Gapping up Wednesday above Tuesday's 2478.75 high could have formed a session-long rally setup. But the prior high held, and the balance of the session trended down to the 2472.00 overnight low. Had the attempt been any more substantial, there would be a more substantial bearish consequence for its rejection. Instead, the complete retracement is sufficient. On the other end of the day is the small, late probe under Tuesday's low. Somewhat similarly, starting it earlier would have reflected strong-handed sponsorship. Instead, the late break's failure doesn't imply some bullish resolution.
Once again, neither sellers nor buyers gained traction for their efforts. So, trending in either direction Thursday morning won't be very credible without a gap up originating it.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
THU morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2480.25
2478.00
...would target
2486.00
2484.00
Bias-down: under
2471.00
2469.00
...would target
2465.75
2463.50
Signal status: LATE BIAS-UP
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.