DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A That initially relentless upside's objective? 2844.50-2846.00. But testing it as resistance only consolidated, and then surged higher to attack 2852.00. But the pattern's form was maintained, and the single leg of relentless follow-through did correct -- but only down into the 2844.50-2846.00 range.Trade Signals - Pre Open - 7:44 AM
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Stock Market Opening Trends - 10:40 AM
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That was Friday morning's low, and the upper-end of the range whose recovery would extend the overnight rally. Its reaction through the open did probe fresh highs up to 2839.00.
At least, the gap up was maintained. But it didn't extend. No higher high printed until after the first half-hour, and then grudgingly by 2 ticks a half-hour later.
Nevertheless, expectations remained intact for filling the gap back up to Tuesday's 2841.00 close. It's being tested now. Potential remains alive for probing it up to 2844.50, which would be vulnerable to another corrective dip. Ultimately, however this test of 2841.00 resolves, not reversing this morning's recovery makes the retest of 2864.00 and higher likely back in-play.
Tonight's Day Trading Bias Levels - 11:59 AM
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Stock Market Mid-Day Trends - 1:55 PM
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The likely resolution was to extend almost relentlessly and probe the 2843.50 upper-end of Tuesday's late consolidation that contained that gap. Finally, expending so much energy to exceed so much resistance was likely to correct back down.
Market Performance Signals - 4:32 PM
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Tomorrow's Day Trading Plan - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Gap up maintains, slow to extend.
The overnight rally testing 2837.00 had pulled back pre-open to test 2832.00 as support.
THU afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2847.00
2848.00
...would target
2853.00
2854.00
Bias-down: under
2841.75
2843.00
...would target
2836.25
2837.50
Signal status: noN-BIAS, STILL TESTING BIAS-UP SIGNAL
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NEW: BIAS VIDEOS... INTRO // EXAMPLE
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Target area now being used as support.
The likely upside objective this morning was to fill the gap back up to Tuesday's 2841.00 close.
Thursday morning's rally was likely to test 2841.00, potentially extend to 2846.00, and then probably correct. The rally tested 2846.00, extended to 2852.00, and then corrected. Perhaps the morning's extra upside is responsible for a lack of afternoon buyers to resume the rally. Its correction down to 2838.50 was rejected by a last-minute surge through the close attacking 2846.00.
Even without the last-minute surge, Thursday's prevailing uptrend wasn't reversed by the afternoon's downtrend of lower lows and lower highs. Neither did it resume. And buyers didn't gain traction for the morning's effort, since neither the bias environment exit nor the final hour's entry recovered a prior high. So, trending higher without delay Friday all but requires gapping up, optimally above the afternoon's 2849.50 high.
Thursday afternoon's sellers also didn't gain traction for their effort, since exiting the bias environment under the noon hour's low was never confirmed by another window. But positive territory puts the burden of proof on buyers, so Friday morning (if not already overnight) could extend Thursday afternoon's decline. Under 2835.50 could test 2826.00 before being unlikely to recover.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.
FRI morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2847.75
2848.50
...would target
2855.25
2856.00
Bias-down: under
2835.75
2836.75
...would target
2829.50
2830.50
Signal status: noN-BIAS, STILL TESTING BIAS-DOWN SIGNAL
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NEW: BIAS VIDEOS... INTRO // EXAMPLE
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.