DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&APre-Market Open Predictions - 7:19 AM
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Stock Market Opening Signals - 11:12 AM
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The overnight rally had begun probing yesterday's 2645.50 high to attack 2650.00, and then blipped-up to 2657.50 into the open. The actual open was also the rally's 2656.00 next higher objective. Its resistance reacted down to 2647.00, overlapping a couple of sell signals but never attracting reinforcements.
Testing a 2651.75 buy signal at the 10:15 bias timing window got a benefit of the doubt for having absorbed sellers. Coincidentally, a favorable China trade headline several minutes later triggered a spike up to 2661.00. And now its retracement has recovered to fresh highs at 2668.50.
Having met 2656.00, no upside requirement is in-play. The next higher notable resistance -- its room for noise -- is at 2668.50, now being tested. Closing above 2656.00 would put into play the rally's next higher objective at 2701.00. Closing back under 2656.00 wouldn't be predictive of anything, other than sponsorship not exploiting the opportunity to further entrench the rally.
Tonight's Day Trading Predictions - 11:59 AM
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Mid-Day Market Thoughts - 1:36 PM
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Market Summary - 4:32 PM
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Friday's gap up to the rally's next higher objective at 2656.00 took the entire bias timing window through 10:15 to absorb a dip to 2647.00. But the rally resumed and extended higher through the noon hour to 2677.25. That was 3 ticks short of the afternoon's bias-up target, and the bias environment only dipped down to 2662.00. The final hour firmed to 2670.50 through the cash session close, and to 2672.50 through the futures close, and then to 2677.75.
The bullish WedEX's success is gauged by a comparison to the bias environment's high. Which the cash session close barely attacked and the futures close barely touched. The post-close fresh session high tilts the scale, so that we should at least be aware of Tuesday morning's potential for trending up aggressively from the open.
Closing above 2656.00 has put into play the rally's next higher objective at 2701.00. Closing firmly above its room for noise at 2668.50 would have expected the rally to extend higher aggressively and without delay. Only overlapping it at Friday's close leaves the door open to rejecting the close above 2656.00 by immediately reversing back under it.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
REMINDER: NO SATURDAY REVIEW THIS WEEKEND DUE TO THE HOLIDAY.
Tomorrow's Stock Market Trading Bias Levels - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Gap up to target is being exceeded.
FRI afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2668.00
2668.50
...would target
2676.75
2677.25
Bias-down: under
2659.25
2660.00
...would target
2649.25
2650.00
Signal status: BIAS-UP
.
BIAS VIDEOS... INTRO // EXAMPLE
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
The most bullish scenario may be to avoid a decline.
The noon hour's high attacked this afternoon's 2677.25 bias-up target to within 3 ticks. This is still a bias-up environment, and its target is in-play. But it won't become "unfinished business" if left outstanding when the bias environment begins lapsing.
Meanwhile, upside momentum is suspect. A 2672.25 pullback limit was violated upon entering the noon hour. The rally attempted to resume without first taking time for any accumulative behavior -- no backing-and-filling or complexity of any sort. The rally's attempt to resume hasn't extended. In fact, the violated pullback limit's 2668.00 low is being probed now.
This afternoon's bullish WedEX influence doesn't prevent there being a temporary corrective dip. Presumably, this current break now testing 2666.00 will be recovered. Back above 2671.75 would start to signal momentum reversing up. Regardless, WedEX doesn't require resuming the rally, only retracing dips.
TUE morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2676.75
2677.00
...would target
2687.25
2687.50
Bias-down: under
2665.50
2666.00
...would target
2657.00
2657.50
Signal status: BIAS-DOWN, BIAS-DOWN TARGET EXCEEDED
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BIAS VIDEOS... INTRO // EXAMPLE
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.