DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A Unlike yesterday, the pre-open collapse to 2815.50 was recovered to greet the open back at or above the 2818.75 bias-up signal. Which extended back up to 2825.00, within 1 tick of this morning's bias-up target. Reacting back down again probed under the 2818.75 bias-up signal, in time to invoke grace period. It triggered late. This is a bias-up environment, targeting 2825.25.Market Pre-Open Plan - 6:52 AM
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Stock Market Morning Strategy - 11:03 AM
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Tonight's Stock Market Trading Bias Levels - 11:59 AM
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Mid-Day Market Thoughts - 1:28 PM
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If the indicator is influential this afternoon, then its passively bearish posture would suggest gravitating or trending back down before the close.
Meanwhile, buyer have expended a lot of buying pressure. As was suspected, exceeding the morning's 2825.25 bias-up target would next target the 2831.00 area. The surge between them was a surprise, and kept alive momentum for the noon hour to extend higher to 2836.50.
This afternoon's 2831.50 bias-up signal has triggered, putting into play a test of the 2838.25 bias-up target. Having said that, NQ underperformed ES with a lower high, suggesting that institutional hands are shunning speculative issues. Until the pre-1:20 high is exceeded, there's risk of a deeper dip despite being bias-up.
Market Performance Signals - 4:32 PM
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Both were reversed down sharply before their opens. But Friday's collapse held up enough to trigger bias-up, producing a very productive rally that included the likely reward for retesting the pre-open high -- surging up to the 2831.00 area, and extending during the noon hour to 2836.50.
Meanwhile, Friday afternoon's bias-up triggered, leaving outstanding its 2838.25 bias-up target. Which is not invalidated. The afternoon's attacked 2826.00, which already raises the degree of difficulty in neutralizing the "unfinished business" above. Now add to it that the afternoon's pessimism confirms the bearish WedEX will influence Monday morning. The question is whether the likely post-open slide is preceded by gapping up.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
JOIN US AT 9:30 ET FOR THIS WEEK'S SATURDAY REVIEW
Tomorrow's Day Trading Plan - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Retest of prior high finds sellers again.
The overnight rally up to 2822.00 was recovering a corrective dip during the Market Tour recording. The recovery extended to retest yesterday's 2825.00 pre-open high up to 2826.00. Hovering there briefly like yesterday's test soon resolved down sharply, like yesterday's test.
FRI afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2826.25
2831.50
...would target
2833.00
2838.25
Bias-down: under
2817.75
2823.25
...would target
2812.00
2817.50
Signal status: BIAS-UP
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BIAS VIDEOS... INTRO // EXAMPLE
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Probing sharply higher highs.
As announced previously, I'm using Friday afternoon's performance as an input to the WedEX's influence on Monday morning.
The overnight recovery to 2826.00 was essentially a repeat of the prior night's recovery to 2825.00.
MON morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2825.25
2830.25
...would target
2832.25
2837.25
Bias-down: under
2815.50
2820.75
...would target
2808.75
2814.00
Signal status: BIAS-UP, BIAS-UP TARGET MET
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BIAS VIDEOS... INTRO // EXAMPLE
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.