NEW DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A And now having probed a fresh low down to 2391.25, the next lower attraction is 2388.00. The 2387.00 bias-down target doesn't require being tested due to the bias-down signal's very late break. Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.Pre-Open Market Signals - 6:53 AM
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Day Trading Opening Trends - 11:06 AM
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Tonight's Day Trading Predictions - 11:59 AM
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Stock Market Mid-Day Trends - 1:25 PM
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Day Trading Market Wrap - 4:32 PM
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Tomorrow's Day Trading Bias Levels - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Plus ca change, plus la meme chose.
Plus ca change, plus la meme chose. Reversed, I know. As it should be, with a noN-bias. The bias-down signal was touched overnight, but the open bounced up to Friday's cash and futures session closes at 2396.00 and 2397.75. Then plunged to touch the 2392.25 bias-down signal.
Bias-down's grace period was invoked, but was still being tested at 10:30 to trigger noN-bias. The bias-down target isn't in-play. Neither is an offsetting test of the bias-up signal. Also, there's no constraint for the bias-down signal to define the morning's lows.
MON afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2399.00
2395.00
...would target
2405.25
2401.25
Bias-down: under
2393.75
2389.75
...would target
2388.25
2384.25
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-UP SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Still no signs of capitulation.
This morning's noN-bias environment extended down to 2389.75 until the bias environment began lapsing. The trend has since reversed up, attacking the 2395.00 bias-up signal. The signal was actually touched minutes too soon to invoke the grace period. Exceeding 2395.00 through 1:30 would at least invalidate the afternoon's no-bias signal.
Otherwise, 2395.00 should define the bias environment's upper-end. Probing above it is possible, albeit doomed to failure for being "no-bias trending." Backing-and-filling for an hour would be likelier, perhaps testing this morning's low down to 2388.75.
Extending higher later remains possible, if not likely. Probing Sunday night's high will continue to be the likely resolution unless this afternoon were to give this morning's decline the credibility that it currently lacks.
Monday morning's drop was basically an extension of the overnight reaction to having blipped-up Sunday night, which Monday's opening blip-up essentially duplicated. Each was briefer and shallower, despite being in position to attract much wider sponsorship. Sellers weren't taking the bait.
Sellers also failed to trigger the morning's bias-down. Not for lack of proximity, since noN-bias triggered. Optimism remains alive, if not altogether alive and kicking. The pattern offers an opportunity to extend down anyway during the afternoon bias environment. It wasn't done, while price hovered at the afternoon's high, which is restrained optimism.
Recovering to retest Sunday night's high remains likely. But a better bottom than Monday's low will be sought at slightly lower levels, if not already underway Tuesday morning. Extending higher overnight would be credible for persisting through the morning.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
TUE morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2400.50
2396.50
...would target
2407.00
2403.00
Bias-down: under
2393.00
2389.00
...would target
2387.50
2383.50
Signal status: BIAS-UP
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.