NEW DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.Professional Pre-Open Trading Plan - 7:23 AM
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Stock Market Opening Trends - 10:27 AM
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Tonight's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 11:59 AM
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Stock Market Mid-Day Trends - 1:31 PM
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and then retested just as headlines triggered a 16-point plunge to 2410.25.
Exiting the bias environment beyond its bias target would have invalidated whatever may have been put into play by holding that bias signal. So, not recovering back above the 2415.50 bias-down target through 11:30-noon would have invalidated the 2428.00 objective, which was put into play by holding 2421.50 through 10:15.
In fact, the noon hour was attacking 2421.00. So, a test of 2428.00 has become "unfinished business above." It need not be met today -- back under 2416.75 would start to signal a retest of the lows underway, as required by its oversold RSIs.
This afternoon's 2414.75-2422.25 bias signals weren't touched or triggered. Either should define the no-bias environment if tested. Probing beyond either during the no-bias environment would require being retraced.
If the upside attraction isn't re-established already when the bias environment begins lapsing, then another dip would be very likely. Just retesting today's low and filling the gap back to Friday's Thursday's 2408.00 close just below it could launch a recovery. Not holding their test would be likely to probe fresh lows down to 2499.00 and 2493.00.
Session Wrap - 4:32 PM
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Tomorrow's Market Predictions - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Support contains early sellers again.
A pre-open bounce greeted the open up to 2424.50. Its reaction dipped sharply to probe the overnight low down to 2420.50, 1 point under this morning's 2421.50 bias-down signal. That also happens to be a calculable inflection point, and probing it any deeper than those first 4 ticks would have reflected strong-handed sellers.
The setup is similar to yesterday, and so is its resolution. Support held, probably marginalizing sellers for the morning. Having held a test of the 2421.50 bias-down signal, an offsetting test of the 2428.00 bias-up signal is in-play. Fresh post-open highs are already testing 2425.00.
Exiting the bias environment back under 2421.50 would be credible for inserting a detour, but a detour is otherwise unlikely. Meanwhile, exceeding 2428.00 would suggest extending to probe above yesterday's highs.
TUE afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2424.75
2422.25
...would target
2430.25
2428.00
Bias-down: under
2417.00
2414.75
...would target
2411.50
2409.00
Signal status: NO-BIAS
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Politics derails the morning's recovery.
Testing and holding this morning's 2421.50 bias-down signal had put into play an offsetting test of the 2428.00 bias-up signal. The upside objective was attacked to within 2 points,
Tuesday's open tested and held relevant support through a relevant timing window. That relevant level was the morning's bias-down signal. Consequently, an offsetting test of the bias-up signal was put into play. And it was on the way to being tested when political headlines triggered a plunge.
Knee-jerk reactions to headlines are sponsored by weak hands. And their reactions are doomed to failure. Even if strong-handed opinion shares the same direction, they'll step back so that weak hands can trap themselves, and then reverse the trend. Tuesday morning's plunge didn't require being recovered the same day, but that didn't stop it.
The offsetting test of the morning's bias-up signal was neutralized, too, being attacked to within 3 ticks. Momentum didn't reverse back down, keeping the door open to fresh highs for the week -- unless Tuesday's low is broken through the close.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
WED morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2430.25
2428.00
...would target
2435.00
2433.00
Bias-down: under
2422.25
2420.25
...would target
2416.25
2414.00
Signal status: BIAS-UP, BIAS-UP TARGET EXCEEDED
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.