DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.Pre-Open Market Open - 7:34 AM
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Market is Open, Here's What to Expect - 10:40 AM
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Tonight's Day Trading Strategy - 11:59 AM
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Day Trading Mid-Day Thoughts - 1:42 PM
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until the bias environment began lapsing.
And it has been straight up since then.
Holding a test of this morning's 2582.75 bias-down signal had put into play an offsetting test of the 2589.25 bias-up signal. Its attraction finally created a break above yesterday afternoon's highs. Which led to a test of this afternoon's 2588.25 bias-up signal. It triggered, putting into play its 2594.50 bias-up target.
There's no fresh high since before 1:20, and price has been fluctuating around 2590.50. So, upside momentum may take another pause like this morning's bullish setup. There's room down to 2586.00 before reversing the trend down. But resuming the rally could probe fresh highs up to 2600.75.
Market Summary - 4:32 PM
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Tomorrow's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Opening dip holds.
The bullish premise for this morning's open required quickly recovering above 2587.50. Not already rallying at 9:45 wouldn't have been bullish. More so, sellers would likely have been productive by then already. There wasn't a recovery, and sellers were productive. But not durably.
The 2584.50 open had blipped-up 5 ticks and then reversed down into and out of 9:45. Extending down to 2581.50 reacted back up to the opening highs. The 2582.75 bias-down signal held its test to trigger no-bias.
It's too late to reject the no-bias signal through 10:30. Still, back under 2582.75 (being touched now) would start to signal fresh lows, anyway -- but from a position of strength that is likely to recover. Otherwise, an offsetting test of the 2589.25 bias-up signal is in-play.
WED afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2591.50
2588.25
...would target
2597.75
2594.50
Bias-down: under
2585.50
2582.25
...would target
2580.25
2577.00
Signal status: BIAS-UP
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Bias-up triggered.
This morning's gap down extended lower only to attack yesterday's lows, let alone the overnight lows. But the morning remained within yesterday afternoon's range,
Trending Wednesday wasn't unlikely. It was unlikely to extend. And likely to be reversed. The morning's gap down probed lower, albeit not all the way down to the 2579.75 overnight low, which had probed Tuesday's low. The morning's bias-down signal held in time to put into play an offsetting test of its 2589.25 bias-up signal. So, trending or not, the dip became required to reverse up.
And while reversing up, the attraction enabled triggering the afternoon's 2588.25 bias-up signal. The bias environment ranged narrowly flat-to-higher, steepening its slope slightly into the 3:37 position-squaring window. That proved too much as its reaction dipped back down to test the bias environment's 2589.00 low. It was too late to be strong-handed sponsorship, and the afternoon's 2594.50 bias-up target becomes "unfinished business above."
Wednesday's late dip back under 2590.50 is interesting, as the close was still overlapping it. Decisively recovering it would have formed a position of strength to help absorb a reaction down Thursday. Prior probes above 2590.50 were also rejected. Since 2600.75 is likely to be tested after fulfilling the 2594.50 unfinished business, reacting back down under 2590.50 would be very bearish. Otherwise, closing any higher would next target 2617.25.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
THU morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2597.25
2594.00
...would target
2603.00
2600.00
Bias-down: under
2589.00
2586.00
...would target
2583.50
2580.25
Signal status: BIAS-DOWN, BIAS-DOWN TARGET MET
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.