NEW DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A This is a no-bias environment. Holding a test of the bias-up signal put into play an offsetting test of the 2388.75 bias-down signal. Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.Expert Pre-Open Trading Strategy - 7:44 AM
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Trade Signals - Market Open Update - 10:32 AM
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Tonight's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 12:00 PM
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Stock Market Mid-Day Update - 1:36 PM
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Day Trading Summary - 4:32 PM
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Tomorrow's Stock Market Trading Bias Levels - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Gap up reacts back down. Which reacts back up.
Yesterday's rally didn't gain traction for its efforts. So, gapping up above yesterday's highs was the only way to rally credibly this morning. Gapping up, and extending.
But the gap up held its test of 2397.00 "higher prior lows" and reacted down.
Natural support was found upon filling the gap back to yesterday's 2392.50 close. RSIs diverged positively, producing a bounce that failed to recover the 2395.25 bias-up signal.
TUE afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2401.25
2399.75
...would target
2406.25
2405.00
Bias-down: under
2395.50
2394.25
...would target
2390.25
2388.75
Signal status: NO-BIAS
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Resistance is holding, and being retested .
This morning's 2396.25 bias-up signal was being probed at 10:30, but not exceeded by enough to invalidate having signaled no-bias at 10:15.
The balance of the bias environment tested 2396.25 as resistance. Never enough to by become "no-bias trending," but neither was it rejected. The offsetting test of this morning's 2388.75 bias-down signal is "unfinished business below."
That didn't prevent probing fresh highs into noon. Attacking this afternoon's 2399.75 bias-up signal was reversed to attack 2395.00. This is a no-bias environment, too.
Fresh highs would have room up to 2401.00, if not also to probe it, while still being vulnerable to reversing down sharply.
Tuesday's gap up touched the 2397.00 "higher prior low." Its test was likely to hold, which it did. Reversing down avoided triggering bias-up, putting into play an offsetting test of the 2388.75 bias-down signal. Which was never touched.
Bias-up wasn't invalidated, although the morning was spent hovering there. So 2388.75 becomes "unfinished business below."
Rallying into the noon hour to 2399.50 was never revisited intraday. Its reaction down formed a range that persisted through the close. Sellers failed through two timing windows to reverse down, suggesting the consequence of probing a fresh high. Stopping pessimistically short of the high suggests it will be probed considerably.
Only gapping down or extending down aggressively can avoid at least probing fresh highs, presumably to 2401.00, if not also trending to new highs.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
WED morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2400.50
2399.00
...would target
2406.25
2405.00
Bias-down: under
2392.25
2391.00
...would target
2386.00
2384.50
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-UP SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.