NEW DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.Professional Pre-Open Trading Strategy - 7:43 AM
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Stock Market Opening Signals - 10:41 AM
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Tonight's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 11:59 AM
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Mid-Day Market Thoughts - 1:39 PM
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And if the recovery were valid for ending the post-open pullback, then it would extend higher through the noon hour. Which it did.
The noon hour extended higher as far as possible without putting into play any higher objective. Or any objective. This afternoon's 2436.75 bias-up signal was probed by 1 point, but it was still being overlapped at both 1:20 and 1:30 to avoid triggering.
The afternoon bias environment is not no-bias, and not bias-up. It is noN-bias. Usually, the noN-bias environment behaves like a no-bias, holding resistance. Unlike the usual no-bias environment, noN-bias tends to cling to the bias signal -- and often breaks it when the bias environment begins lapsing.
So, unless a pullback limit were violated and an inflection point were to reverse momentum down, the rally is positioned to resume today. Shallow weakness for now would be helpful, but back under 2432.00 would start signaling another downdraft underway.
Session Wrap - 4:32 PM
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Tomorrow's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
And briefly extended. But not uptrending.
The 2433.50 overnight high had reacted down pre-open to within 1 tick of this morning's 2429.25 bias-up signal. The pullback was retraced entirely into and out of the open. It soon extended to 2436.00. And just as soon retraced the extension.
This creates an anchor. In case of a reversal down, the context ensures its complete recovery. And a reversal down remains possible, because the extension wasn't maintained. The reversal down would become much less likely if the bias environment continues fluctuating around the 2433.50 -- especially if it has already begun extending higher.
Higher highs were next target 2438.00, and then a retest of Friday morning's 2443.50 high up to 2445.00. Otherwise, back under 2430.50 would initially target a test of yesterday's "lower prior highs" at 2425.25 and lower.
TUE afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2439.25
2436.75
...would target
2444.75
2442.25
Bias-down: under
2432.50
2430.00
...would target
2427.00
2424.50
Signal status: noN-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-UP SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Trending up through the noon hour, to resistance.
If this morning's dip to the 2429.25 bias-up signal were going to break lower, then it needed to avoid recovering the 2433.00 open. But the bias environment was exited back up at 2433.00.
Tuesday's open gapped up well above Monday's 2427.50 highs to 2433.00. A probe up to 2436.00 was retraced during the morning's bias environment back down to its 2429.25 bias-up signal. It recovered, and each remaining timing window trended up to higher and higher highs.
This pattern would be a "session-long rally" if Monday's last trending had been down. But Monday's late action rallied back to session highs. A gap down under Monday afternoon's 2418.00 lows would have formed a "session-long decline," and would have begun the process of ending the pullback from Friday morning's 2443.50 high.
Regardless of the direction, Monday's range was likely to produce a false breakout. Again, that temporary move down would have helped to form a better base for launching a rally. Instead, rallying first has been sponsored by weak hands, vulnerable to reversing down at any time upon retesting Friday's high.
Avoiding a reversal down Wednesday morning could extend the rally to 2445.00 if not also to 2553.00. An overnight pullback has room down to 2433.00-2434.00 to maintain the rally's momentum. Opening any lower could dip back into Monday's range, where there would be no assurance of not simply extending down to Friday's lows and lower.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
WED morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2442.75
2440.25
...would target
2448.00
2445.50
Bias-down: under
2435.50
2433.00
...would target
2429.50
2427.00
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-UP SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.