DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A It's important to repeat that prior highs didn't require a retest, let alone a break higher. Also, the interim dip was shallow, and not accumulative. This is new sponsorship, and vulnerable to becoming depleted if reinforcements don't arrive.Pre-Open Market Signals - 7:43 AM
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Day Trading Post Open Bias Levels - 10:46 AM
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but it was certainly more aggressive. A steeper slope probed substantially higher through every timing window.
The open exceeded 2699.00 to make the bias-up likelier to trigger. The 2703.00 bias-up target was exceeded through 10:15 to renew the bias-up. And now the first hour is extending to 2708.50. All while 3-minute RSI remains persistently overbought.
Tonight's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 11:59 AM
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Stock Market Mid-Day Update - 1:38 PM
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So it could be invalidated only by avoiding a fresh high above 2712.00 and then exiting the bias environment at 2:30 back under the afternoon's 2703.00 bias-down signal.
The noon hour's breakout does risk being too optimistic ahead of the 2:00 FOMC Minutes. An initially favorable knee-jerk reaction could fulfill 2714.00 and then reverse down. Already fulfilling 2714.00 before the Minutes could react down more durably.
Actually closing above 2703.00 would put into play 2722.00-2727.00 regardless of today's high. Overbought RSIs at the high printed during the noon hour, so no retest of the high is required. Not first fulfilling 2714.00 would leave unfinished business above, but not closing above 2703.00 would be more relevant.
Market Performance Signals - 4:32 PM
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So retesting the high could have been limited to 2703.00. Extending higher established a couple of other potential peaks that could have limited the session high. Its highest at 2714.00 did just that.
2703.00 and 2714.00 each could have attracted counter-trend sponsorship. But 2703.00 was probed early enough and high enough to put into play targets above it. And despite it fulfilling the afternoon's buying pressure by being the bias-up target, 2714.00 was tested late enough to dissuade counter-trend sponsorship.
Clearly, something relevant happened at 2714.00. It was pierced by a single tick before reacting down 3 points into the close. Closing above it would have made the next higher objective at 2722-2727 more capable of extending higher, or at least ranging sideways. If met Thursday morning immediately after having held 2714.00, then 2722-2727 would be as vulnerable to reacting down as 2703.00 and 2714.00.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.
Tomorrow's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Rally resumes relentlessly.
The pre-open retest of Friday's 2698.25 pre-open high had reacted down to touch yesterday's 2696.00 high as support. The open wasn't greeted much higher,
WED afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2709.75
2709.00
...would target
2714.50
2714.00
Bias-down: under
2703.50
2703.00
...would target
2698.50
2697.75
Signal status: BIAS-UP
FAQ
NEW! Flowcharts: Bias-UP // Bias-DN
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
More new highs, briefer consolidations.
Already breaking higher during the noon hour to 2712.00, this afternoon's 2709.00 bias-up signal has triggered. Its 2714.00 bias-up target is in-play. It's too late to invalidate the signal at 1:30.
Friday's pre-open retest of the 2-week old high followed a relatively shallow interim pullback. Shallow, and narrowly ranging are not accumulation.
THU morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2715.75
2715.00
...would target
2722.50
2722.00
Bias-down: under
2706.50
2706.00
...would target
2700.50
2699.75
Signal status: BIAS-UP, BIAS-UP TARGET EXCEEDED
FAQ
NEW! Flowcharts: Bias-UP // Bias-DN
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.