CHARTROOM LINK
(pre-open Market Tour begins at 8:55 ET) The 2038.00 open first rallied to 2043.50 before reversing back under the morning's 2041.50 bias-up signal. That first reversal had extended down to test 2034.00-2035.00 when "no-bias" triggered, putting into play an offsetting test of the 2029.75 bias-down signal. 2032.50 was touched when the next reversal came. First surging to test the 2041.50 bias-up signal by 1 point was retraced to attack 2034.00-2035.00. That allowed me plenty of time to point out that a fresh high would target 2044.50-2046.00. In fact, the morning's 2046.50 bias-up target was touched. Exiting the bias environment above it would invalidate whatever had been put into play by holding its 2041.50 signal through 10:15. Offsetting test of the bias-down signal? Moot. No-bias trending above the bias-up signal? Moot. Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.Professional Pre-Open Trading Strategy - 7:17 AM
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Market is Open, Here's What to Expect - 11:46 AM
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While both characteristics have defined post-open action, there's so much more than that.
Tonight's Stock Market Trading Bias Levels - 12:01 PM
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Day Trading Market Wrap - 4:22 PM
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Tomorrow's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 6:39 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Post-open action tracks its pre-open description.
I highlighted two warnings during the pre-market Tour. First, that delaying a probe under 2034.00-2035.00 would lack sponsorship capable of trending down. Second, it's time for a session with multiple intraday reversals.
TUE afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2057.25
2050.50
...would target
2062.75
2056.25
Bias-down: under
2048.75
2042.25
...would target
2044.25
2037.50
Signal status: noN-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-UP SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Tuesday morning's surprises weren't surprising. We expected the 2041.50 bias-up signal to hold its test and trigger no-bias, and we expected its reaction down to hold a test of 2034.00-2035.00. Both were probed by a couple of points, but they held.
Tuesday afternoon's lack of surprises was surprising. Invalidating the attractions below only extended higher, and did not reverse intraday direction again.
A late dip from 2058.50 pierced the noon hour's range down to 2052.00. But it was too late for sellers to gain traction, and it was not aggressive as the pattern allows at this stage. So it's possible that a new upleg is about to begin, and gapping up Wednesday would be credible for launching it.
Of course, we're still in the ongoing trading range, which has repeatedly greeted each session with a different picture than was left at the prior close. Not already trending up at Wednesday's open could find sellers back in control.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
WED morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2066.75
2059.50
...would target
2069.50
2062.25
Bias-down: under
2056.00
2048.75
...would target
2049.75
2042.50
Signal status: BIAS-UP, BIAS-UP TARGET EXCEEDED
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.