NEW DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A I don't know what catalyst accounts for there still being any semblance of support at 2430.50, after having chipped away thoroughly at it last week. Regardless, the template indicated that returning to it would break sharply through it. That didn't happen at the open, but it has happened this afternoon. Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.Pre-Open Stock Forecast - 7:39 AM
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Stock Market Opening Trends - 10:56 AM
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Tonight's Day Trading Plan - 11:59 AM
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Day Trading Mid-Day Update - 1:57 PM
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And its 2426.00 bias-down target would be "unfinished business below." The 2433.00 bias-down signal had triggered, and it wasn't invalidated.
Bias Wrap - 4:32 PM
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But there's no requirement for the pullback to end.
Meanwhile, Tuesday's plunge down to 2416.50 only touched a prior low. That's optimistically short of what constitutes an optimal test, let alone thorough. Especially when the next lower objective is only 1 points lower, or 2 points when including its room for noise that is likely to be tested.
There's some potential for "lower prior highs" at 2412.00 to formulate a bottom, which would launch a retest of the highs. Otherwise, probing any lower would next target 2399.00.
Tuesday afternoon's bias environment high printed very early at 2431.50. A lower high printed at 2427.50 as the bias environment began lapsing. Having trended down into the close, just recovering one prior high at Wednesday's open could form a "session-long rally." Optimally, the setup would gap up above the entire bias environment. Likely, the decline persists.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
Tomorrow's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Still holding prior lows.
Last week's last three sessions had chipped away repeatedly at the gap back to the prior Friday's 2430.50 close. Once a new relative high was visited, i.e. yesterday's open, there was no bullish reason ever to revisit 2430.50. Not for backing-and-filling, not for trapping shorts . refueling buyers, and not to resolve some unfinished business.
Yet, 2430.50 is trying to hold again. Testing it overnight could have been isolated by opening above yesterday's lows, and testing it at the open could have been isolated, too. Neither test was isolated, and the 2433.00 bias-down signal has triggered late.
But a bounce is now filling the gap back up to yesterday's 2436.25 cash session close. Doing that earlier, and now repeating its test would be bullish. This being the gap's first test, resolving down remains possible. But not required.
Exiting the bias environment above its 2441.00 bias-up signal would invalidate the bias-down and target new highs. Otherwise, back under 2433.75 would resume the decline.
TUE afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2442.25
2439.25
...would target
2448.00
2445.00
Bias-down: under
2436.00
2433.00
...would target
2429.00
2426.00
Signal status: BIAS-DOWN
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Prior lows melt away.
So long as this morning's bounce didn't exit the bias environment above its 2441.00 bias-up signal, it would be only a temporary delay.
One piece of "unfinished business above" remains outstanding at 2454.00. It was a bias-up target that triggered that afternoon. It's likely to be retested soon after the current pullback ends.
WED morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2425.50
2422.50
...would target
2431.25
2428.50
Bias-down: under
2417.50
2414.75
...would target
2412.00
2409.00
Signal status: BIAS-UP, BIAS-UP TARGET EXCEEDED
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.