NEW DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A 3-minute RSI remains persistently overbought, for now, while new highs probe 2445.00 is probed up to 2450.00. The renewed bias-up is fulfilled. There's room for noise above at 2453.00, but no requirement to reach it. Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.Stock Market Pre-Open Plan - 7:50 AM
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Stock Market Opening Trends - 10:39 AM
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minutes of volatility did the deed. WedEX is dead.
We'd already been observing bullish behavior, at least to create an anchor for recovery purposes in case of reversal. There was no reversal. Gapping up to 2440.50 blipped-down 2 points and quickly recovered to extend the rally. A Running Correction up to 2443.00 (remember that) resolved up while 3-minute RSI became persistently overbought.
Tonight's Day Trading Predictions - 11:59 AM
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Market Performance Mid-Day Update - 1:46 PM
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Bias Summary - 4:32 PM
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Attacking it to within 3 ticks at any time would neutralize it.
Ironically, AMZN offers a singular intersection of two competing influences -- trending up, and overextended. Monday's new high (green circle) failed to hold above recent "higher prior lows" (red circle). The trend is up, but the pattern is vulnerable to reversing down at any time. The broader market, too.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
Tomorrow's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Gap up surges its way to new highs.
Gapping up didn't kill the WedEX's bearish influence. Neither did extending higher. Printing a higher high after the first 15
MON afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2451.00
2448.25
...would target
2456.50
2454.00
Bias-down: under
2444.25
2441.75
...would target
2438.75
2436.00
Signal status: BIAS-UP
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Bias-up target in-play.
This morning's rally ultimately surged to 2450.00 as the bias environment began. The bias environment exit dipped to 2443.75. That one-hour pullback is today's only pullback, so far.
Attracted by overbought RSIs at the high, price action since then has trended back up. Extending through the noon hour and into this afternoon's bias environment just attacked 2451.00. Now RSIs are NOT overbought.
Room for noise above 2445.00 ends at 2453.00. Overlapping it could fulfill this afternoon's 2454.00 bias-up target (even if only to within 3 ticks). Vulnerability to reversing down is high, but meanwhile at least one new high close remains as "unfinished business above."
Monday's new high close was a reasonable trade-off for the bearish WedEX not being influential. A better trade-off was that the early indication of WedEX's demise defaulted to extending the rally. Which it did, considerably.
Regardless of the degree to which the rally extended Monday, an outstanding structural requirement was neutralized. The two-week old requirement for at least one more new high close is now done. More may come, but none are required.
Along the way, Monday afternoon's bias-up was triggered and now its 2454.00 target is "unfinished business above."
TUE morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2452.25
2449.50
...would target
2458.00
2455.50
Bias-down: under
2445.25
2442.75
...would target
2430.00
2437.25
Signal status: noN-BIAS, STILL TESTING BIAS-DOWN SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.