NEW DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A None of which is preventing yet another test of 2446.00 as resistance. This strength is almost a half-hour premature for reliably breaking higher. A recovery would be more credible upon coming within 10-15 minutes of the bias environment lapsing. Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.Day Trading Pre-Open Plan - 7:25 AM
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Stock Market Opening Trends - 10:52 AM
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Tonight's Day Trading Plan - 11:59 AM
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Day Trading Mid-Day Update - 1:50 PM
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Day Trading Market Wrap - 4:32 PM
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Tomorrow's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Maximum selling greeted the open.
The overnight tests of this morning's 2446.00 bias-down signal had given way to also test the 2440.75 bias-down target. The opening bar blipped down to 2438.75. And held.
Sellers were already suspicious. The late extension wasn't any more reliable. Its likely resolution was to test 2446.00 as resistance. Which it did.
Reacting back down to 2441.00 helped to maintain the bias-down signal at 10:15. Another bounce also reacted down before 10:30 to avoid invalidating the 10:15 signal. This is a bias-down environment. Its target has been met, but its signal should define the window's upper-end.
WED afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)2454.25
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2450.00
2448.75
...would target
2455.50
2454.25
Bias-down: under
2446.25
2443.00
...would target
2439.25
2438.00
Signal status: noN-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-DOWN SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Gap down held, but recovery holding back.
The late push to fresh overnight lows at the 2440.75 bias-down target had to prove itself, or else fail. It failed. Back above 2442.25 quickly signaled the drop lacked sponsorship. But trending higher through the morning never proved there was sponsorship for a recovery.
Chipping away at the 2446.00 bias-down signal's resistance wasn't actually probed until the bias environment had begun lapsing. But then only to attack 2448.00 into the noon hour. And RSIs returning to their upper-end was repeatedly stopping short of becoming overbought. Strong hands weren't buyers.
Dipping during the noon hour tested this afternoon's 2443.00 bias-down signal -- both at 1:20 and at 1:30. Bias-down avoided triggering, but it also avoided holding. This is a noN-bias environment, which often clings to the bias signal before breaking it anyway. Regardless of its timing, a break to fresh lows testing 2438.00 is possible, unless the bias environment were exited in rally mode attacking 2446.00.
Tuesday night's drop measured 14 points from its early high to last-minute low. The open's blip-down was momentarily another couple of points. The rest of Wednesday's post-open action was less decisive. Bouncing 7 points through the morning was retraced 5 points through the afternoon, followed by another shallower reversal.
Was Wednesday's action a pullback that consolidated Tuesday's rally? This would allow one more upleg to develop that completes the correction off of Monday morning's low. The upside potential to 2461.00 must still navigate the gap back up to Tuesday's 2451.25 close, where resistance could already launch the next downleg.Gapping down Thursday would find little support at 2438.00 whose break would target Monday's 2429.00 highs. A corrective bounce there would likely resolve down into the weekend.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
THU morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2449.50
2448.50
...would target
2454.25
2453.50
Bias-down: under
2440.75
2440.00
...would target
2435.50
2434.50
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BOTH BIAS SIGNALS
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.