DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A One limitation was exceeded by triggering a sell signal under 2737.75. Then another limitation failed by not triggering bias-up. More so, both the 2735.50 AND 2742.45 bias-up parameters were rejected, putting into play offsetting tests of BOTH the 2718.00 and 2711.00 bias-down parameters. This is not a no-bias, requiring its bias-down signal to define the window's lower-end. And this is not a bias-down, requiring its target to be met (although it's being probed now down to 2692.75).Pre-Open Market Open - 7:28 AM
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Trade Signals - Market Open Update - 10:43 AM
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So, maintaining a gap up above 2740.50 would reject the prior afternoon's drop. Gap up, maintain it, and extend it. Gapping up was maintained above 2740.50, but not extended. That's still a position of strength, but with limitations.
Tonight's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 11:59 AM
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Market Mid-Day Predictions - 1:48 PM
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Tests of both the 2718.00 and 2711.00 bias-down parameters were put into play. Both were tested, and then some.
2705.00 had been attacked when the morning bias environment started lapsing. A choppy noon hour has resolved down, and the afternoon bias environment's entry had already attacked its 2698.00 bias-down target. Nevertheless, its 2706.25 bias-down signal wasn't cleanly triggered, so this is a noN-bias environment.
Market Performance Signals - 4:32 PM
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Probing fresh lows overnight at the morning's 2711.00 bias-down target had reacted up sharply, probing above the morning's bias-up target by an additional 6 points up to 2748.25. And, yet... Rejecting both bias-up parameters put into play a retest of the overnight low that was fulfilled. And then extended, to attack the next lower objective at 2685.00-2686.00 to within 1 tick.
Which could have been the low. Only 1-minute RSI was oversold, so it doesn't require being retested. Its reaction up recovered the bias environment's entry, but not until the window had already begun lapsing. So, despite bouncing to 2723.50, the two prior sessions' "higher prior lows" launched a reaction back down to 2798.00.
This late dip wasn't too late to form a bearish WedEX. Breaking from within the two prior sessions' range to close below them makes the signal active -- closing back above higher prior lows would have formed a passive bullish setup. Opening high enough Thursday could still trigger a late passive bullish WedEX, but even that might not prevent at least more weakness before a recovery attempt could be credible.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.
Tomorrow's Day Trading Plan - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Gap up rejected.
Yesterday afternoon's 2740.50 bias environment high produced fresh session lows.
WED afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2718.00
2719.25
...would target
2727.75
2729.00
Bias-down: under
2705.25
2706.25
...would target
2697.00
2698.00
Signal status: noN-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-DOWN SIGNAL
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NEW: BIAS VIDEOS... INTRO // EXAMPLE
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Entering the afternoon at fresh lows.
Despite rallying up to 2748.25 through the open, both the 2742.25 and 2735.50 bias-up parameters were rejected.
THU morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2708.00
2709.00
...would target
2716.00
2717.00
Bias-down: under
2690.00
2691.25
...would target
2681.00
2681.25
Signal status: BIAS-DOWN, BIAS-DOWN TARGET MET
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NEW: BIAS VIDEOS... INTRO // EXAMPLE
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.