NEW DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A Gapping up to 2353.00 has extended single-mindedly, if not also relentlessly. The first relevant hesitation was well above last week's highs attacking 2360.00. Persistently overbought 3-minute RSI indicated that 1-minute RSI diverging negatively would likely resolve up. In fact, the 2361.00 bias-up target was exceeded through 10:15 up to 2363.50. This renews the bias-up signal, next targeting 2365.00-2366.00. i.e. Nothing requires extending higher this afternoon, or prevents reversing course back down. In fact, there was a downdraft. It hasn't extended, nor has it recovered. The highs formed a head & shoulders that triggered a sell signal under 2360.25, and met its minimum 2357.25 target down to 2356.00. A relatively narrow 2-point range between 2358.00-2360.00 defined the noon hour. Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.Pre-Open Market Signals - 7:52 AM
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Day Trading Post Open Signals - 10:39 AM
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into the next US morning. As it should, regardless of the Globex action since Friday.
Tonight's Market Predictions - 12:04 PM
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Day Trading Help - Mid-Day - 2:01 PM
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Bias Summary - 4:32 PM
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Tomorrow's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Open's surge renews bias-up.
Last Wednesday's close had triggered a bullish WedEX signal. Its influence Friday afternoon has extended
TUE afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2365.00
2363.00
...would target
2370.50
2368.75
Bias-down: under
2356.00
2354.25
...would target
2349.50
2347.50
Signal status: NO-BIAS
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
REMINDER: MARKET WRAP BEGINS AT 3:33pm ET.
Persistently overbought 3-minute RSI kept alive this morning's rally. It ultimately came within 1 tick of the 2365.00-2366.00 renewed bias-up target. Close enough for hand shoes and horse grenades. But a loose end, if left outstanding.
The high doesn't require being retested. The 3-minute RSI's persistence had already broken, dipping momentarily out of overbought territory. And its 1-minute RSI was at best on the cusp of being overbought. But the burden of proof is on sellers, because the open's rally wasn't rejected through two timing windows -- a downdraft could still recover.
Tuesday's open was greeted by largely bullish holiday price action that launched a gap up 2 points above last Wednesday's high to 2353.00. Assisting the trend was a bullish WedEX that had been influential Friday afternoon. Extending sharply higher renewed the 2355.00 bias-up signal through its 2361.00 bias-up target, putting into play 2365.00-2366.00. Which was attacked to within 1 tick.
RSIs were no longer simultaneously overbought when the morning's peak was reversed 9 points down to 2355.75. Firming through the afternoon bias environment then rallied through the close to pierce the morning's high by 1 tick. The 2365.00-2366.00 target was barely touched, but it was touched.
And apparently, the target was also neutralized. RSIs had diverged negatively at the late high, facilitating a last-minute dip down to 2363.50 at the cash session close. Futures extended lower to attack 2358.00. Not at all shallow, but still too little and too late to be predictive of a resolution. Nevertheless, it is certainly reflective of the atmosphere up here. And a reminder that there is no "unfinished business above" to inhibit reversing down.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
WED morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2368.00
2366.00
...would target
2374.00
2372.25
Bias-down: under
2358.50
2356.75
...would target
2353.75
2351.75
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-DOWN SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.