DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A The setup is that Symmetrical Triangles often break falsely in one direction before reversing more substantially in the opposite direction. But this was an overnight creature, so its influence would lapse with the opening 15 minutes of volatility. Not yet displaying its reversal property by 9:45 would instead allow the pattern's break lower to extend. This afternoon's 2984.75 bias-up signal triggered, and its 2991.50 bias-up target is already probed up to 2993.25. RSIs are diverging negatively, but noise has room another 3 ticks higher before signaling the bounce is extending into the close.Day Trading Pre-Open Strategy - 7:36 AM
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Stock Market Opening Thoughts - 10:47 AM
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Forming a Symmetrical Triangle there, and already probing lower pre-open, created the opportunity for an early-entry.
Tonight's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 11:59 AM
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Stock Market Mid-Day Trends - 1:57 PM
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Oversold RSIs at its lower require an eventual retest, but they don't prevent a detour.
Like the detour straight up from the low. Almost straight up. Reacting down before the noon hour was soon recovered. This morning's 2989.50 bias-down target was touched and held before entering the afternoon bias environment. It was the only semblance of the morning bias signal's influence persisting through the noon hour, which Fridays often do.
Bias Summary - 4:32 PM
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Trending down from the 3004.00 overnight high greeted the pre-open report at 2983.25. Falling through the first hour got to 2971.25, the room for noise under its 2973.00 objective.
Oversold RSIs at the low will require its eventual retest. But Friday Factors allowed room back up to 2989.50 through the noon hour. Extending higher into the final hour touched the rally's original 2997.75 target. Friday's final hour drifted back down to 2988.25, where a last-minute surge did nothing relevant.
Friday's recovery never got back into the orbit of Thursday night's 3004.00 high, a "new Globex trend extreme." The setup requires intraday retest, often the same day, but not always. And not Friday.
The afternoon's rally gained traction for its effort. The bias environment lapsed at 2:30 above the noon hour's range, and the final hour was entered even higher. Any other day of the week would be reliable for rewarding its sponsorship overnight and/or through the following morning. Its influence is less reliable over the weekend, but still likely if not already trending down at Monday's open.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
NO SATURDAY REVIEW THIS WEEKEND. CHARTROOM RE-OPENS SUNDAY AT 6:00 PM ET.
Tomorrow's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Early-entry setup establishes sellers in charge.
Overnight lows at 2993.25 held into the pre-open Employment Situation report. But its knee-jerk reaction up to 2997.25 snapped right back down to 2984.00.
FRI afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2981.50
2984.75
...would target
2988.25
2991.50
Bias-down: under
2973.50
2976.75
...would target
2966.50
2969.75
Signal status: BIAS-UP
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BIAS VIDEOS... INTRO // EXAMPLE
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Friday Factors drift.
The objective of this morning's decline at 2973.00 was probed momentarily by almost 2 points before snapping back up sharply.
Friday's defensive posturing ahead of the Employment Situation report was more pessimistic than its reaction.
MON morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2995.25
2998.50
...would target
3000.75
3004.00
Bias-down: under
2980.50
2984.00
...would target
2973.50
2977.00
Signal status: LATE BIAS-DOWN, BIAS-DOWN TARGET MET
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BIAS VIDEOS... INTRO // EXAMPLE
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.