CHARTROOM LINK
(pre-open Market Tour begins at 8:55 ET) Reversing down would now leave no unfinished business above. That includes the open's gap, which was not above all prior highs. I've been sharing the recent observation upside objectives are being fulfilled more and more quickly, What had taken weeks began taking days, and then timing windows. Today's is a recent record. Durable rallies "climb a wall of worry" thanks to strong-handed sponsorship. Weak-handed sponsorship aren't so reliable. Like junkies, they require faster and faster gratification to keep them coming back. Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.Pre-Open Market Open - 7:10 AM
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Stock Market Opening Thoughts - 10:40 AM
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would enable recovery, even if only to retest the open. Remember that.
Meanwhile, the gap up did exceed 2185.50 through 9:45. That made the 2184.00 bias-up signal likely to trigger at 10:15. Which it did. A test of the 2189.50 bias-up target is in-play. Oh, wait, it's already met.
Tonight's Day Trading Bias Levels - 12:01 PM
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Day Trading Help - Mid-Day - 1:59 PM
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Bias Summary - 3:15 PM
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Tomorrow's Market Predictions - 6:40 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Gap up extends, already meets target.
The 2184.75 opening print was not above prior intraday highs. Maintaining it through the open does not create an anchor that
MON afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2194.50
2191.50
...would target
2199.25
2196.25
Bias-down: under
2186.25
2183.25
...would target
2180.00
2177.00
Signal status: NO-BIAS
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
I WILL BE AWAY FROM SCREENS ALMOST ALL OF THE FINAL HOUR TODAY. MARKET WRAP WILL BEGIN EARLY AT 3:00 PM ET.
Gapping up to prior highs and extending higher through the open has not extended higher. Neither has it reversed down, not even as a corrective pullback.
Rather, the first hour's test of its 2189.50 bias-up target began more than a 3-hour range around it. And it's narrow, not even 2 points high.
Is it a bullish Flag continuation pattern? It's possible, since it is forming entirely above all prior highs. The duration of its narrowness is disproportionate to the rally into it, so its first break higher would be suspicious until exceeding 2191.50, and its own 3-minute high.
Back under 2188.25 could target 2183.50 and then much lower. Of course, there's no requirement to resolve today either way -- but a 2-point range probably won't persist.
Sunday night's rally and Monday morning's surge peaked before the morning bias environment's exit. That's not unusual, and hardly noteworthy. Except that price action suddenly flat-lined. The noon hour held the narrow range that had entered it, as did the afternoon bias environment.
I was away from screens for much of Monday's final hour. But we held a pre-close "Wrap" one hour before the close.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
TUE morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2193.00
2190.00
...would target
2198.50
2195.50
Bias-down: under
2184.25
2181.25
...would target
2177.25
2174.25
Signal status: LATE BIAS-DOWN
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.