NEW DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A The calculable pullback objective at 2433.25-2433.75 was barely touched before reversing back up. And up, and up. The 2438.50 bias-up target is exceeded through 10:15 to renew the bias-up signal, next targeting 2445.00. Already, 2441.50 is being tested. The link to this weekend's Saturday Review will be delivered in the morning before its 9:30am ET start.
Professional Pre-Open Trading Plan - 7:53 AM
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Day Trading Post Open Signals - 10:23 AM
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The prior high wasn't yet recovered when the opening 15 minutes of volatility lapsed, but a pullback would still be attractive.
Tonight's Day Trading Strategy - 11:59 AM
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Day Trading Help - Mid-Day - 1:51 PM
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the opening 15 minutes of volatility had only retraced yesterday's 2436.50 prior high, but had not yet exceeded it. The reward was new highs up to 2443.50.
The pattern since Wednesday afternoon has been to probe prior highs, and then to fail. This morning's probe above prior highs has kept the pattern alive, as it has failed.
Overbought RSIs at the high weren't retested before already slipping a little when the bias environment began lapsing. The noon hour retraced the entire post-open rally. Actually, half the noon hour retraced to within 2 ticks of the open's gap up. Now after renewing the afternoon's bias-down signal, yesterday's 2430.25 cash session close is being probed down to 2428.00.
Reversing this morning's rally would target 2419.25. Avoiding it would require trapping shorts. Now having probed negative territory, exiting the afternoon bias environment back in positive territory would suggest the session low is made.
Market Summary - 4:32 PM
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Tomorrow's Day Trading Bias Levels - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
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All targets met. Now it's only about objectives.
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Gapping up several points to 2434.50 wasn't insubstantial, and it extended immediately to touch yesterday's 2436.50 high.
FRI afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2445.50
2442.50
...would target
2451.50
2448.75
Bias-down: under
2441.00
2438.25
...would target
2436.00
2433.00
Signal status: BIAS-DOWN, BIAS-DOWN TARGET EXCEEDED
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Morning's surge retraced, but not yet punished.
The open's surge got a benefit of the doubt for extending higher because of Friday Factors. Otherwise,
The pattern since Wednesday afternoon had been to probe prior highs and then reverse down. Friday's pattern was no different structurally, only in degree. Gapping up above the 2436.50 prior high would have broken the pattern and enabled trending higher into the weekend. Only recovering to 2436.50 during the opening 15 minutes of volatility had left the morning's rally vulnerable to retracing.
Friday morning bias signals tend to persist through the noon hour. The noon hour's exit had retraced the morning's rally from 2443.50 only to unchanged at 2430.00. That was the wrong place to be when the bias-up influence disappeared. Support wasn't helped by NDX already having reversed back to Thursday's lows. The next lower objective at 2419.25 attracted price down to it, and through it by another 61.8{faed0d6dca04cec8b6b7985efddb9b0651107a3aebb05f69f0166038b8c951f6} to 2412.50.
The final hour was entered by a bounce up to 2418.00. Extending higher through the 3:10-3:20 proxy window can't change whether the bounce's origin was too low and too late to be sponsored by strong hands. Oversold RSIs at the low require a retest.
Of course, overbought RSIs at the high also require a retest. Presumably that would be done while satisfying the requirement for at least one more new high close. Speaking of which, the rally just failed to exploit the proximity to another new trend high close on a Friday.
Overbought RSIs
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
MON morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2434.00
2431.00
...would target
2439.25
2436.50
Bias-down: under
2425.00
2422.25
...would target
2418.50
2415.50
Signal status: LATE BIAS-DOWN SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.