Professional Pre-Open Trading Plan - 7:53 AM

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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference. PROGRAMMING NOTE: The chaRTroom URL has changed. Please be sure to use the link below to access. Check the chaRTroom page for the latest link.

NEW DAILY SCHEDULE First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<== Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A

Through the prior close... Thursday's rollover was greeted with an overnight probe above Wednesday's late high to 2434.25. Reinstating by proxy Wednesday's Pivot Reversal? No. Failing, again. The open tried again before dropping to 2425.00. Rallying into the noon hour to attack 2437.00 also failed, and also dropped back to 2425.50. A final bounce stopped short of being relevant at 2431.00-2432.00. Overnight action's new info... Exit polling in reaction to Britain's snap election triggered a gap down under Thursday's lows to 2434.00. It began reversing up immediately, and soon recovered 2431.00-2432.00. Europe's opens were greeted there, triggering a blip-up to attack 2436.00. But that quickly settled back down to 2431.00-2432.00. If, then... I had not expected Britain's elections to be an intraday factor. If anything, it inhibited trending. But even last night's volatility is no assurance of breaking free from the current 3-day range. And even last night's complete recovery from gapping down is no assurance of avoiding the low's retest. Yesterday's sellers gained traction, but last night's gap down spent no further time stewing in pessimism before behaving optimistically. And that optimism has failed multiple attempts to accomplish more than retracing the drop, despite all "unfinished business" attractions being above at 2438.00 and higher. Still not recovering to gap up would remain more vulnerable to extending down, next targeting 2419.25. First Trade... [Click here to view the Bias parameters] Exiting the open at 9:45 above 2428.00 would be unlikely to trigger the 2424.75 bias-down signal at 10:15. Exiting the open under 2428.00 would be unlikely to trigger the 2433.25 bias-up signal. Phonetic dictation... good morning alright good morning and welcome good morning and welcome it is Friday it's time for Friday's morning market tour so are we up labeled here just for everybody's reminder that the front-month is sap the month that we're tracking it up if you need that levels for June just let me know happy to make that calculation is changing a little bit so still in the range sort of Wednesday's failed recovery the pivot reversal gapped up Thursday Wednesday thank you multiple very shallow but still that doesn't change the opportunity to recover and the opportunity failed and failed several times yesterday the results considering the British and was looking at was trying to do that really what going to fulfill it that gap down maybe the deciding factor is or would be gapping up above yesterday's highs several attempts at that have returned back to unchanged essentially so there's no economical 4 coming out for you open that we might look forward to as a catalyst catalyst so if the decline word resume or let's say this way if the rally has an extended the recovery overnight recovery has an extended the Gap up to resume the rally then there's still an attraction to Fresh Lowe's still some consequence to two Wednesdays pivot reversal having failed to fully form at Wednesday's clothes or the multiple attempts to restart it by proxy having failed as well the consequence at some point is a complete reset a complete reset means back to the origin through it if necessary that is 24 1925 can we get to 2419 25 today on a Friday of all days like we are than not to be able to make that happen again that's we're going to be playing defense marketing and that has henna Niro and sympathy little bit lower overnight 30 tested the basically the 11111 objective that the prior low you can't see that but overnight at did also the top be better gold dump yesterday Gold's dump yesterday the Post open dump maybe even the free open dump did that have some Advanced info or or maybe just some smart maneuvering that helps in the end siphon off negative reaction possibly I mean there's no real follow through overnight there's a retest of yesterday's low which is actually in that pattern it's not necessarily bullish but it is constructive to a bullish pattern it can even be tested yesterday's low down to 6950 just need to stay away or avoid breaking under 6950 and I'll lower the Buy Signal silver similarly head broken lower yesterday Post open Hill or went out testing lower prioritize not going to get away that easily in fact it is proving lower overnight but basically closing back of up 1745 closing back above 1745 should put back in the play should put back into place 1790 Long Pond pull back to the support of what it been the Rally's Target originally that was sliced through that just couldn't get any momentum going above it it's a good opportunity for corrective bounce back up to 154 1854 24 if this is going to be a bigger drop that was in the day we spent yesterday and in fact 154 26th and then resolving down or trying to be a little more helpful if that work done today as opposed to overnight but any clothes back under 150 329 would be credible for guard list of its duration or extension producing a fresh drop and we could get to lower Pryor High as easily in the 15220 or you but again I really prefer bouncing again for not being able to is triggered above the 309 basically the same high that was the intraday High Wednesday soba 309 but of course subject to Horn eating confirmation from a second consecutive are closed as well I just seen that not be today because confirmation after weekend is Waterdown alright okay so Gap up today and maintain it which hasn't been the pattern the strength has been but not maintaining it get break that pattern by maintaining opening strength or any probe of a prior and buyers get every benefit of the doubt for extending hi are we could see new highs and I don't know that a new High clothes but new High clothes on a Friday would in French the rally especially after a week like this otherwise the vulnerability is to the downside 24 1925 any questions please post on the chart room where I'll see you before the open and good luck today don't forget we've got Saturday review tomorrow good luck today.

Day Trading Post Open Signals - 10:23 AM

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All targets met. Now it's only about objectives. chaRTroom link: Adobe suddenly assigned our branded domain without any notice, and my chaRTroom links weren't all updated. I apologize for the inconvenience, click here to enter. Gapping up several points to 2434.50 wasn't insubstantial, and it extended immediately to touch yesterday's 2436.50 high. The prior high wasn't yet recovered when the opening 15 minutes of volatility lapsed, but a pullback would still be attractive.

The calculable pullback objective at 2433.25-2433.75 was barely touched before reversing back up. And up, and up. The 2438.50 bias-up target is exceeded through 10:15 to renew the bias-up signal, next targeting 2445.00. Already, 2441.50 is being tested.

The only "unfinished business above" is a new high close. That became required by two setups last week. It's what gave us high confidence that this week's dip was only a temporary pullback. This being a Friday, a new high close today would also be a new trend high close, requiring yet another. Friday Factors make the morning's bias likely to persist through the noon hour. Seemingly, that would create a lot of room to absorb afternoon selling pressures without damaging the rally's chart. Seemingly.

Tonight's Day Trading Strategy - 11:59 AM

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FRI afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES Bias-up: above  2445.50 2442.50 ...would target  2451.50  2448.75 Bias-down: under  2441.00  2438.25 ...would target  2436.00  2433.00 Signal status: BIAS-DOWN, BIAS-DOWN TARGET EXCEEDED FAQ INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2 1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target. 2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range. -- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias. 3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal. -- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely. 4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.

Day Trading Help - Mid-Day - 1:51 PM

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Morning's surge retraced, but not yet punished. The open's surge got a benefit of the doubt for extending higher because of Friday Factors. Otherwise, the opening 15 minutes of volatility had only retraced yesterday's 2436.50 prior high, but had not yet exceeded it. The reward was new highs up to 2443.50. The pattern since Wednesday afternoon has been to probe prior highs, and then to fail. This morning's probe above prior highs has kept the pattern alive, as it has failed. Overbought RSIs at the high weren't retested before already slipping a little when the bias environment began lapsing. The noon hour retraced the entire post-open rally. Actually, half the noon hour retraced to within 2 ticks of the open's gap up. Now after renewing the afternoon's bias-down signal, yesterday's 2430.25 cash session close is being probed down to 2428.00. Reversing this morning's rally would target 2419.25. Avoiding it would require trapping shorts. Now having probed negative territory, exiting the afternoon bias environment back in positive territory would suggest the session low is made.

Market Summary - 4:32 PM

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The pattern since Wednesday afternoon had been to probe prior highs and then reverse down. Friday's pattern was no different structurally, only in degree. Gapping up above the 2436.50 prior high would have broken the pattern and enabled trending higher into the weekend. Only recovering to 2436.50 during the opening 15 minutes of volatility had left the morning's rally vulnerable to retracing. Friday morning bias signals tend to persist through the noon hour. The noon hour's exit had retraced the morning's rally from 2443.50 only to unchanged at 2430.00. That was the wrong place to be when the bias-up influence disappeared. Support wasn't helped by NDX already having reversed back to Thursday's lows. The next lower objective at 2419.25 attracted price down to it, and through it by another 61.8{faed0d6dca04cec8b6b7985efddb9b0651107a3aebb05f69f0166038b8c951f6} to 2412.50. The final hour was entered by a bounce up to 2418.00. Extending higher through the 3:10-3:20 proxy window can't change whether the bounce's origin was too low and too late to be sponsored by strong hands. Oversold RSIs at the low require a retest. Of course, overbought RSIs at the high also require a retest. Presumably that would be done while satisfying the requirement for at least one more new high close. Speaking of which, the rally just failed to exploit the proximity to another new trend high close on a Friday. Overbought RSIs Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.

The link to this weekend's Saturday Review will be delivered in the morning before its 9:30am ET start.


Tomorrow's Day Trading Bias Levels - 5:55 PM

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MON morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES Bias-up: above  2434.00  2431.00 ...would target  2439.25  2436.50 Bias-down: under  2425.00 2422.25 ...would target 2418.50  2415.50 Signal status: LATE BIAS-DOWN SIGNAL FAQ INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2 1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target. 2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range. -- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias. 3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal. -- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely. 4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.