DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A I'm still reluctant to sell within the orbit of the overnight high. It's a "new Globex trend extreme" that requires intraday retest. But an offsetting test of the morning's 2520.25 bias-down signal was put into play. And it wasn't invalidated, so it became "unfinished business below." Those "unfinished business belows" are adding up, not unlike a monthly bar tab that suddenly comes due. Under 2520.25 is Monday morning's no-bias trending retracement from 2509.50. And potentially lower. Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.Stock Market Pre-Open Plan - 7:37 AM
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Stock Market Opening Strategy - 10:18 AM
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Tonight's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 11:59 AM
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Day Trading Help - Mid-Day - 1:50 PM
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Market Performance Signals - 4:32 PM
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Tomorrow's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Still hovering under the overnight high.
The open was greeted in a narrow range around the 2527.50 bias-up signal. A post-open dip finally appeared. It came to within 3 ticks of the 2525.25 objective that would have been likely to hold and to reverse up. If done early enough.
Coming to within 3 ticks at 2526.00 proved sufficient to hold, and to recover. But so far, only to recover, back up to 2529.25. Reversing up is something else. And not at all assured.
TUE afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2531.75
2529.00
...would target
2537.25
2534.50
Bias-down: under
2528.00
2525.25
...would target
2523.00
2520.25
Signal status: noN-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-UP SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Narrow range persists.
Germany and China are both closed today. They're also both asleep now. Or close to it. But this morning's narrow ranging persists. The lack of volatility hasn't attracted new sponsorship, so the market continues hovering at or under the 2529.50 overnight high.
The overnight high is a "new Globex trend extreme" that required intraday retest. Now the attraction above is neutralized. RSIs aren't overbought, so there's no other "unfinished business above." Dropping from this pattern tends to begin suddenly.
Retracing ground is a lot easier than forging through untouched territory. Breaking higher would still be credible for extending since counter-trend sponsorship is no easier to attract. But the greater vulnerability is back down -- this morning's 2520.25 is "unfinished business below," as is Monday morning's 2509.50.
Monday night's relentless optimism was relatively shallow. But it would have been labeled as excessive optimism had Tuesday's open reversed back under the overnight low. It didn't. The open didn't do much but fluctuate around the morning's 2527.50 bias-up signal. Triggering no-bias was almost accidental, considering the narrow aimless ranging.
WED morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2535.50
2532.75
...would target
2540.75
2538.00
Bias-down: under
2529.50
2526.75
...would target
2523.00
2520.25
Signal status: NO-BIAS
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.