DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A Back under 2781.00 would start to signal another pullb My big question is regarding Tuesday's "top" when its new trend highs were book-ended by closing essentially flat with the open's 2751.00 gap up. The setup tends to precede a reversal, which there was on Wednesday. But that organic setup was overcome artificially, as weak-handed sellers reacted to news headlines. If the prerequisite recovery triggered a short-squeeze, then a strap in tight.Pre-Open Stock Market Plan - 7:52 AM
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Stock Market Opening Strategy - 10:29 AM
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Tonight's Market Predictions - 11:59 AM
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Day Trading Mid-Day Update - 1:39 PM
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ack, first. And 7 points may prove shallow. Even a temporary dip has potential down to 2776.00 or 2773.00.
Bias Wrap - 4:32 PM
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Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
This being a holiday weekend, there is NO Saturday Review.
Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Pre-open plop produces opening pop.
The overnight rally had run into resistance at this morning's 2776.25 bias-up target. Ranging there broke lower in reaction to the CPI report, plunging back to the earlier 2766.25 overnight low. Its reaction up still tested the 2770.00 bias-up signal at the open. Which held, launching a rally back above the overnight highs to 2778.75.
Complexity while forming the overnight high made it a "new Globex trend extreme" requiring intraday retest. That's often the same day, but not always. Today's is already resolved. And exceeding the bias-up target through 10:15 has renewed the bias-up signal. Although not a requirement, the next higher targets are 2781.50 and 2787.00.
Back under 2775.00 would start to signal at least a pullback underway. And maybe only a pullback. A trend reversal would be possible, but less likely. It would be well-rewarded, too, eventually targeting 2730.75. But this being a Friday, the morning's bias signal tends to persist through the noon hour.
FRI afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2786.00
2787.00
...would target
2790.75
2792.00
Bias-down: under
2775.50
2776.75
...would target
2770.00
2771.00
Signal status: NO-BIAS
FAQ
NEW! Flowcharts: Bias-UP // Bias-DN
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Pre-weekend volume contraction.
This morning's rally peaked within 5 ticks of its 2787.00 doubly-renewed bias-up target. It didn't require being met. Neither did its 2781.50 renewed bias-up target. A 7-point dip down to 2779.00 still recovered enough to exit the bias environment back above 2781.50. So, proximity to the high's overbought RSIs makes its retest likelier today.
Friday's new trend extreme close at 2786.50 was back within the afternoon bias environment's range, which does undermine its near-term upside momentum slightly. Similarly, recovering through the close up to 2789.00 doesn't reinforce the upside momentum.
Regardless, the requirement for at least another eventual higher trend extreme close is not affected. But that is basis U.S. regular trading hours.
That opens a window for a global pullback Monday while participation is suppressed. Only ranging choppily through the afternoon around the morning's 2785.75 high doesn't reinforce upside momentum -- again, regardless of having surged during the position-squaring window.