NEW DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.Expert Pre-Open Trading Strategy - 7:32 AM
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Stock Market Opening Thoughts - 10:54 AM
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Therefore, not immediately reversing down through the open would be bullish. And it was likely to test room for noise up to 2457.50, if not also extend to test 2463.00 and potentially 2471.00-2473.50.
Which the open did. Mostly, so far.
Hovering just under the 2455.50 overnight high surged to fresh highs through the open. The bullish strategy was to get long immediately and to monitor for a reversal setup at 2457.50. None developed. Indeed, 1-minute RSI diverging negatively was bullish in context of persistently overbought 3-minute RSI. Resistance at 2463.00 was attacked before 3-minute RSI left overbought.
Now 2463.00 is being probed by 3 points. That doesn't ensure fulfilling potential to 2471.00-2473.50. We'll let pullback limits guide that, and the nearest now is 2464.75. Regardless, Thursday's trend change signal does have an interest in today's close being back under 2459.00.
Tonight's Day Trading Predictions - 11:59 AM
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Stock Market Mid-Day Trends - 1:38 PM
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Market Performance Signals - 4:32 PM
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Tomorrow's Day Trading Bias Levels - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Overnight rally extends uninterrupted.
When relentless, one-way overnight trending is reversed intraday, it tends to be reversed almost immediately at the open.
MON afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2470.00
2468.00
...would target
2474.75
2473.00
Bias-down: under
2462.25
2460.50
...would target
2457.50
2455.50
Signal status: NO-BIAS
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Narrowly sideways into and out of the noon hour.
The open's rally made it to 2466.50. The bias environment exit needed to hold 2463.00 to maintain potential for extending up to 2471.00-2473.50. It was attacked to within 2 ticks, and the rally never resumed.
Neither has it been rejected. Not, yet.
That's not decisive enough to confirm higher targets in-play. Or, that Thursday's trend change won't attract the close back under 2459.00. At least a couple of attempts to trigger a new rally leg have failed. Meanwhile, exiting the afternoon bias environment under 2463.00 would be credible for reversing momentum down.
Sunday night's relentless, single-minded trending had paused at 2455.50 several hours before Monday's open. It resumed immediately, and peaked at 2466.50 during the morning's bias environment. Ranging narrowly back down to 2463.00 finally probed down a couple of points while the bias environment was lapsing. But only momentarily, and eventually recovered back to the range's upper-end.
Ultimately, a last-minute attack on the morning's 2466.50 high was reversed by a last-second probe under 2463.00. The next higher objective at 2471.00-2473.50 was not put into play. That's not necessarily bearish. The late probe down to 2461.00 never extended to close under 2459.00, so Thursday's trend change signal is in jeopardy. It would be saved either by Tuesday's open breaking back under 2459.00, or by closing under Tuesday under Monday's 2454.00 low.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
TUE morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2459.50
2467.25
...would target
2474.50
2472.50
Bias-down: under
2461.00
2459.00
...would target
2455.25
2453.00
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-UP SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.