DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A So, the open reacted down. My pullback target at 2551.25-2552.00 held its test, including a blip-down to 2550.25 that quickly recovered. The 2551.50 bias-up signal has triggered, and the 2555.50 pre-open high is now being attacked. This morning's 2556.75 bias-up target is in-play. "Unfinished business above" remains outstanding at 2557.00. Just touching 2556.00 would relieve both from becoming unfinished business above, too. I'LL DISCUSS MORE ABOUT THIS RANGE, AND IDENTIFY RELEVANT SETUPS AND PRICE LEVELS, AT THIS WEEKEND'S SATURDAY REVIEW. LOOK FOR LOGIN INFO BY MORNING EMAIL.
Day Trading Pre-Open Strategy - 7:54 AM
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Stock Market Opening Trends - 10:29 AM
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Resolving back up to the drop's 2553.25 origin isn't surprising. But gapping up there is a little aggressive, and risks inhibiting reinforcements.
Tonight's Day Trading Plan - 11:59 AM
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Market Performance Mid-Day Update - 2:11 PM
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Day Trading Market Wrap - 4:32 PM
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Tomorrow's Stock Market Trading Bias Levels - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Fresh high reject yesterday afternoon's slide.
Actually, yesterday afternoon's slide had been rejected already by closing back above the morning's 2547.25 low. That robbed the downleg's sellers of their traction.
FRI afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2558.00
2556.00
...would target
2562.75
2561.00
Bias-down: under
2552.25
2550.50
...would target
2547.50
2545.50
Signal status: NO-BIAS
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
No collapse yet, but not extending either.
Exiting the morning's bis environment and/or entering the noon hour under either 2553.25 or also 2550.00 would have been likely to trend down sharply during the afternoon.
The bias environment exit did probe back under 2553.25. But not a lot, and not for long. No lower low has developed, but neither has a higher high. This morning's 2555.50 high has been touched again, but not pierced.
The vulnerability to trending back down remains alive so long as the afternoon bias environment isn't exited in rally mode. Otherwise, there's no requirement to extend up, only a vulnerability.
Friday morning's bias environment exit did at least probe back under 2553.25. But it didn't follow-through into the noon hour's exit, or under 2550.00. Fluctuating around 2553.25 through the session kept the market in proximity to reverse down. That vulnerability would diminish the later and later that it wasn't exploited, and ultimately produce only a temporary dip back down to the open's 2550.50 low. Even after bouncing back into the close, a new trend extreme close on a Friday was avoided. So, the rally isn't entrenched, but "unfinished business above" is left outstanding at 2556.75 and 2557.00.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
MON morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2555.75
2554.00
...would target
2560.75
2559.00
Bias-down: under
2549.75
2548.00
...would target
2544.75
2543.00
Signal status: noN-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-UP SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.