CHARTROOM LINK(s)
o Win XP-Friendly entry
o non-xp friendly (ilinc)
(pre-open Market Tour begins at 8:55 ET) This evening, monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom at:
non-xp ilincPre-Open Day Trading Bias - 8:00 AM
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Day Trading Opening Trends - 10:33 AM
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Tonight's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 11:57 AM
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Session Wrap - 4:27 PM
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Tomorrow's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 11:34 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Gap up maintained, but not necessarily extending.
The opening print was shared by the 2043.00 bias-up target. The opening 15 minutes of volatility ranged faithfully around 2043.00. Congestion there makes trending away difficult, at least the first time. Probing up to 2047.25 has been retraced back down to 2043.00.
Halfway to two-thirds through the opening 15 minutes of volatility didn't retrace or reject the gap up. Dipping any later would likely recover, probably from 2038.00. No relevant level's test during the opening 15 minutes of volatility wasn't maintained, so trending up remains possible.
There's no requirement to extend higher. But the path of least resistance remains up. Extending higher would next target 2048.00, with potential to 2053.00 and 2058.00-2060.00.
WED afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2059.25
2050.00
...would target
2064.25
2055.00
Bias-down: under
2052.25
2043.00
...would target
2047.25
2038.00
Signal status: noN-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-UP SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Wednesday's late dip stopped within 1 point of its 2051.25 potential. The reaction recovered all but 1 tick back to the 2057.75 high. The high wasn't touched, leaving outstanding the overbought RSIs there requiring a retest.
The RSIs retest is likely since sellers expended energy without gaining traction. That's due to a post-close reaction down that came within 1 tick of fulfilling the 2051.25 potential. Also, buyers gained traction for their efforts (I'm giving them a benefit of the doubt on the bias environment exit and final hour entry trending up.)
Gapping down Thursday under Wednesday afternoon's 2048.00 low could form a "session-long decline" setup. But Thursday being a half-session can also be a wild card with the most reliable of setups.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here:
https://roddavid10.mitel-nhwc.com/join/cxsfymr
THU morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2069.25
2060.00
...would target
2075.75
2066.75
Bias-down: under
2058.00
2049.00
...would target
2052.25
2043.00
Signal status: NO-BIAS
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.