CHARTROOM LINK(s)
o Win XP-Friendly entry
o non-xp friendly (ilinc)
(pre-open Market Tour begins at 8:55 ET) This evening, monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom at:
non-xp ilincPre-Open Market Signals - 7:05 AM
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Day Trading Opening Predictions - 10:28 AM
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Tonight's Day Trading Plan - 11:59 AM
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Day Trading Help - Mid-Day - 1:36 PM
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Day Trading Summary - 5:29 PM
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Tomorrow's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 5:49 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Post-open surge takes the last leg up.
The pre-open surge to 2063.75 tested a two-week old pivotal high that had to be exceeded if touched post-open. That was ensured by surging from the 2061.00 open to 2066.00.
Eking higher has now attacked 2069.00, the two-week old actual high. The resolution to its test is less relevant at this stage. But the pattern has been to stop pessimistically short of resistance before a corrective dip launches a new upleg.
A corrective dip back under 2066.00 could end at 2064.00 or 2061.50 -- still well into positive territory and above the open. Much lower would have room to the 2055.00 area, as more of the corrective dip, without reversing the trend down.
TUE afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2075.00
2067.25
...would target
2079.00
2071.25
Bias-down: under
2069.25
2061.50
...would target
2062.75
2055.00
Signal status: BIAS-UP
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Bias-up sets stage for yet another session surge.
Not just another upleg, but another surge. There were two overnight and one at the open up to 2069.00. Backing-and-filling down to 2064.00 has resolved up to 2070.00. This afternoon's 2067.25 bias-up signal was triggered along the way.
The bias-up target isn't much higher, around 2071.00. But the late break to fresh session highs suggests that sellers are being patient -- and that's strong-handed. Plunging 5-1/2 points before the noon hour is aggressive and impatient -- and weak-handed.
Regardless of the potential upside, price action is still ranging around the opening surge's 2069.00 peak. Breaking free of it won't be easy, but it should be rewarded by a surge to fresh highs. Back under 2066.00 would suggest momentum is reversing down instead.
Tuesday's rally gained traction for its efforts -- the bias environment was exited above the noon hour's range, and the final hour was entered higher. The 3:10-3:20 timing window didn't have to trend higher, but tried, and failed. Reacting down helped to temper the emerging optimism before the close.
If Tuesday's rally is rewarded by probing higher Wednesday morning, then it has potential up to 2091.25 and 2096.00, potentially on the way to 2102.00. A shallow opening dip would still be likely to recover and resume rallying during the afternoon. But dipping deeper than 2067.25 would start to signal momentum reversing down.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here:
https://roddavid10.mitel-nhwc.com/join/rkbxssb
WED morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2082.75
2075.25
...would target
2088.75
2081.25
Bias-down: under
2075.50
2068.00
...would target
2069.00
2061.50
Signal status: BIAS-DOWN
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.