DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&ADay Trading Pre-Open Strategy - 7:11 AM
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Market Opening Thoughts - 10:25 AM
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Tonight's Day Trading Strategy - 11:59 AM
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Stock Market Mid-Day Trends - 1:30 PM
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Bias Wrap - 4:32 PM
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Tomorrow's Stock Market Trading Bias Levels - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Pre-open recovery and post-open surge crumble.
Ranging sideways through midnight between 2730.00-2735.00 had broken sharply lower to 2724.50. All of which was still within yesterday afternoon's range. And all of which was recovered before the open up to 2733.00 and then post-open up to 2736.50.
All of which has been reversed to probe under the overnight low down to 2722.25. And all of which is within yesterday afternoon's range.
Meanwhile, the 2727.75 bias-down signal has triggered, putting into play its 2720.75 target. A bounce would be likely to fail and the trend is likely to resolve down. But a bounce does have room to probe the 2727.75 bias-down signal and room for noise up to 2730.75 before suggesting a bigger detour underway to the upside, instead.
WED afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2736.00
2734.75
...would target
2742.75
2741.50
Bias-down: under
2727.00
2725.75
...would target
2721.00
2719.75
Signal status: NO-BIAS
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BIAS VIDEOS... INTRO // EXAMPLE
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Volatility has gone into hiding.
The post-open slide that triggered bias-down probed the 2724.50 overnight low on the way to touching yesterday's 2722.25 low. But no lower. Probing fresh lows during the 10:15-10:30 window made a recovery very unlikely.
A recovery, but not necessarily a retracement. In fact, the post-open slide was retraced almost entirely to within 1 point of its 2736.50 high. And "unfinished business" was left outstanding at this morning's 2720.25 bias-down target.
Dips since the recovery have repeatedly tested 2726.50 as support. But there are no indications of trending, especially as this afternoon's no-bias signal is triggered without testing either bias signal. Be careful in this environment not to force a trade.
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UPDATE: Gmail appears to have resolved its email issues. Please let me know otherwise if you've missed any of Wednesday's Email Alerts. Thank you!
Wednesday was pretty volatile for an inside day. So was the overnight action preceding it. Both contained round trips that at first dived sharply, and then recovered entirely. Which defines Tuesday intraday pattern, sliding 25 points down to 2722.25 and then recovering back to the morning's high.
The overnight action was shallower, dropping 11 points before recovering into the open. Which had initially surged before collapsing 14 points to touch Tuesday's 2722.25 low. Its recovery was quick, and quickly peaked within 1 point of the post-open surge up to 2735.50. The post-open collapse had triggered bias-down, and confirmed it with fresh lows between 10:15-10:30. Its 2720.25 becomes "unfinished business."
Nothing about an inside day requires that it resolve within any specific time frame, or even that it resolve first in either direction. Similarly, nothing about an inside day undermines the underlying trend, which in this case is targeting 2751.00. But a rubber band stretch down or else a gap up are the fastest ways to resume trending.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.
THU morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2736.75
2735.50
...would target
2742.00
2740.75
Bias-down: under
2726.75
2725.50
...would target
2719.50
2718.25
Signal status: BIAS-DOWN, BIAS-DOWN TARGET EXCEEDED
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BIAS VIDEOS... INTRO // EXAMPLE
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.