CHARTROOM LINK(s)
o Win XP-Friendly entry
o non-xp friendly (ilinc)
(pre-open Market Tour begins at 8:55 ET) The minimum objective for a correction has been met, in the minimalist of ways. Potential to 2075.00 was attacked to within 1 tick. The 2074.50 bias-down target has been met to within 3 ticks. It's still an attraction, but won't be considered "unfinished business" if never touched. CLICK HERE for the older version of Omnijoin, which we're using tonight in the chaRTroom because there wasn't time Monday to set-up the newer version.Day Trading Pre-Open Strategy - 7:37 AM
Edit
Stock Market Opening Trends - 10:29 AM
Edit
Tonight's Day Trading Predictions - 12:03 PM
Edit
Market Mid-Day Predictions - 1:00 PM
Edit
Tomorrow's Day Trading Predictions - 4:23 PM
Edit
Day Trading Market Wrap - 4:28 PM
Edit
Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Correcting Friday's weak-handed upleg.
The origin of Friday afternoon's rally leg had indicated that its sponsorship was weak-handed. That doesn't prevent probing higher, but it does require its correction.
MON afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2080.00
2078.25
...would target
2086.00
2084.50
Bias-down: under
2069.25
2067.75
...would target
2062.25
2060.50
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-DOWN SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Correction objective met, leading to consolidation.
This morning's 2074.50 bias-down target was tested before bias-down was signaled. It was soon met, with plenty of time remaining in the bias-down environment.
More substantial corrective target attracted price down. The 2065.00 target was pierced by 2 ticks at the 11:30 bias environment exit. Its test reacted up 10 points to 2074.50 before noon.
It's likely that the correction is fulfilled. But that doesn't necessarily equate to reversing back up immediately. At least one timing window can be spent "backing-and-filling" or forming a more comprehensive pattern. Of course, a negative news headline could exacerbate the pullback, but not necessarily.
Backing-and-filling is simply vulnerable to becoming another downleg. Back above 2070.50 would launch a recovery. Meanwhile, this afternoon's 2067.75 bias-down signal is now being tested down to 2066.00.
TUE morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2081.75
2080.50
...would target
2088.50
2087.50
Bias-down: under
2074.25
2073.25
...would target
2068.00
2066.75
Signal status: BIAS-DOWN, BIAS-DOWN TARGET EXCEEDED
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
We knew the morning's decline had likely ended upon meeting the pullback's 2065.00 corrective target. We also knew the rally wasn't likely to resume immediately, and not to expect buy signals to be very productive. The rally wasn't required to resume at all Monday, so it shouldn't be surprising that only a last-hour buy signal finally extended beyond its first 3 minutes or 3 points.
In fact, that last leg did rally through its 2069.00 buy signal back to the 2074.50 prior highs. And then higher, to its 2077.50 target and higher. Unlike similarly time late breakouts from last week, Monday's doesn't require correcting because it is counter-trend. The session earlier was a correction. So, presumably the rally has resumed -- or still want to resume.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here:
https://roddavid10.mitel-nhwc.com/join/zvvbzfc