NEW DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&A Now 2438.00 has defined this morning's high, and it's still being tested. Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.Trade Signals - Pre Open - 7:33 AM
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Day Trading Opening Trends - 10:52 AM
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Tonight's Market Predictions - 11:59 AM
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Mid-Day Market Thoughts - 2:08 PM
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no-bias environment held tests of the 2437.50 bias-up signal, as it should.
2437.50 has held through the noon hour and now into the afternoon bias environment, too. It's also testing 2438.00, which has been relevant resistance. It was Monday's post-close blip-up. And its retest defined yesterday's pre-open high.
Day Trading Market Wrap - 4:32 PM
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But the sure was contained by the bias-up signal.
That was almost the session's only semblance of sponsorship, as the afternoon settled into its own narrow range. Thursday's other trending was during the position-squaring window. Dropping under the afternoon's 2436.00 sell signal retraced the morning's surge and closed negative.
The late origin of the afternoon's drop does undermine its sponsorship as being weak-handed. But the setup is bearish because its retracement undermines the sponsorship of the morning surge's rally. Unless Friday's open were gapping up above Thursday afternoon's 2438.50 high to trigger a "session-long rally," resuming the decline to the 2415.00 area is likely.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
Tomorrow's Day Trading Predictions - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Choppy ranging around unchanged.
The gap back to Friday's 2430.50 close is still being tested. It was tested so thoroughly yesterday that its support has been chipped away. So, hesitating here this morning cannot be due to that. Either the morning doesn't intend to trend, or else an attraction above must be tested before trending down.
3 of the first hour's 5 15-minute checkpoints overlapped yesterday's 2431.25 close. This suggests the morning hasn't attracted sponsorship for trending. Not in either direction. Also, neither bias signal was touched.
Meanwhile, repeatedly probing an infection point at 2431.25 has failed to break each probe's 3-4 minute low. This suggests the rubber band must be stretched before snapping back. In either direction.
Both can apply, but more so the latter. Especially now that the 2430.00-2434.00 opening range has broken higher to 2436.25.. The 2437.50 bias-up signal could be tested, and still be vulnerable if not also likely to resolving down.
THU afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2441.00
2438.50
...would target
2445.75
2443.50
Bias-down: under
2434.50
2432.25
...would target
2429.00
2426.50
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-UP SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Retesting a prior high.
This morning's no-bias signal triggered after a relatively narrow opening range. Breaking higher during the
Thursday's opening checkpoints indicated a lack of sponsorship, at least for the morning. Actually, that didn't prevent the open's narrow range from launching a morning surge.
FRI morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2438.75
2436.25
...would target
2444.00
2441.75
Bias-down: under
2431.00
2428.50
...would target
2426.00
2423.25
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-DOWN SIGNAL
FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.