DAILY SCHEDULE
First, watch the pre-open Tour recording HERE <<==
Then, meet in the chaRTroom here by 9:15 ET for updates and Q&ADay Trading Pre-Open Strategy - 7:08 AM
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Market is Open, Here's What to Expect - 10:42 AM
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Tonight's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 11:59 AM
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Day Trading Help - Mid-Day - 1:38 PM
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Still overlapping this morning's 2730.00 bias-up target prevented renewing its signal. It was still a bias-up environment, and its 2737.00 renewed bias-up target was met anyway. And touching it at the morning's high reacted back down to 2730.00 as the bias environment began lapsing.
The noon hour broke lower, coming to within 1 tick of this afternoon's 2722.00 bias-down target. The low's oversold RSIs formed as the noon hour was lapsing, so it doesn't require a retest. But back under 2724.75 would start to signal the low's retest underway. It's still a bias-down environment, so perhaps deeper.
Meanwhile, the open's 2728.00 gap will want to be retested after having retraced back into a prior session's range. The reaction up from attacking 2722.00 has come to within 1-2 points. Neutralizing its attraction and then triggering a sell signal would be more vulnerable to extending down further.
Session Wrap - 4:32 PM
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Tomorrow's Stock Market Trading Strategy - 5:55 PM
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Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.
Gap up, extending, and extending again.
Rallying 10-11 points out of Europe's opens had tested 2728.25 before correcting down to 2724.75. That began a narrowing range which formed an Ascending Triangle. Greeting the open at its upper-end almost literally exploded higher.
Resistance at 2732.50-2733.25 pushed price back down to the pre-open Triangle's 2728.25 upper-end in time to avoid renewing the bias-up signal. It's still a bias-up environment, and fresh highs just attacked 2735.00.
Extending higher would next target 2737.00, and potentially 2743.50, on the way to the rally's 2751.00 (revised) target and its room for noise up to 2757.00. Otherwise, RSIs haven't reflected any enthusiasm, and back under 2730.25 would target 2726.25, potentially lower.
TUE afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2736.25
2735.00
...would target
2744.00
2742.75
Bias-down: under
2729.75
2728.50
...would target
2723.25
2722.00
Signal status: BIAS-DOWN
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BIAS VIDEOS... INTRO // EXAMPLE
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.
Morning's target launches steep reversal down.
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Tuesday afternoon's rally was premature. It originated during the bias-down signal, from under its 2728.50 bias-down signal, requiring its eventual retest. That didn't prevent probing the morning's high by 3 ticks up to 2737.75. The high held its test, and its reaction violated a pullback limit. But momentum didn't reverse down.
The rally's adjusted 2751.00 target and its room for noise up to 2757.00 remain in-play. But not upside momentum after a late dip violated the latest pullback limit. So, no hold-long, despite the attraction above. And no hold-short, despite the "unfinished business" below at 2728.50 (which can be neutralized overnight, and often also retraces the 1:20 print which was 2725.50).
Because Tuesday morning's range contained essentially all of the afternoon, opening under Tuesday's 2722.25 low could launch a more developed pullback.By the same token, avoiding an immediate break under Tuesday's low should allow the rally to extend, possibly without delay.
Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the post-market Wrap recording here.
Monitor overnight Globex trading in the chaRTroom here.
WED morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET)
SPX
ES
Bias-up: above
2739.50
2738.25
...would target
2744.75
2743.50
Bias-down: under
2729.00
2727.75
...would target
2722.00
2720.75
Signal status: BIAS-DOWN
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BIAS VIDEOS... INTRO // EXAMPLE
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be "no-bias," and the bias signals should define the bias environment's range.
-- A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
-- "Late" signals don't require testing the opposite bias signal, but it's still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger "noN-bias," with no bias influence.